|211: FLORIDA ST
Last Updated: 2017-11-07
On Saturday, November 11, 2017, the Florida State Seminoles travel to Memorial Stadium-Clemson to take on the No. 4 ranked Clemson Tigers in this ACC showdown. Despite the victory over Syracuse last weekend, this continues to be a season to forget about Florida State. Since dropping the first game of the year to Alabama, they have been in disarray ever since, but a victory over Clemson would completely redefine this season and give them a chance for a bowl game.
Things looked bleak for Clemson when they suffered their first loss of the season at the hands of Syracuse on Friday the 13th, but they have rebounded and now find themselves right back in the national championship on, looking to make their third straight appearance in the championship game. They have won their last two games of the season.
Florida State has been absolutely terrible against the spread this season, going 0-7-1. They are only 4-8 against the spread in their last 12 games against Clemson, and are 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games at Clemson. In the last six games between these two teams in Clemson, the total has gone over in four of those contests, but Florida State has been under in six of their last eight games. The Seminoles have been under in their last five games on the road.
Clemson is 4-4-1 against the spread this season, and they are 1-4-1 against the spread in their last six games. Clemson is 13-1 straight up over their last 14 games, and have gone under in five of their last six games at home.
Seminoles vs. Tigers
Spread: Florida State +16 (-110); Clemson -16 (-110) at 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Moneyline: Florida State +500; Clemson -700
Totals: Over/Under46.0 (-110)
FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES
With five losses in their first eight games of the season and their starting quarterback injured, Florida State is just trying to stay above water, hoping that there is some way that they can earn victories in three straight games to close out the year so that they would be bowl eligible. That’s a huge task against Clemson, a team that looks like they have gotten past the hiccup of losing to Syracuse and now have national championship aspirations again.
One issue that has faced the Seminoles all year long has been their mediocre running game, but Cam Akers delivered a 199 yard rushing game against Syracuse last weekend, and looks to be a huge key in this contest. If he can get 20 to 25 carries and gain about 125 yards it will give Florida a real good shot of controlling the tempo of the game and keeping the Clemson offense off the field.
One area of the team that really needs to step up is the defense in terms of taking the ball away. The Seminoles have recorded just four interceptions and three fumble recoveries to go along with 14 sacks. They’ve got to get pressure on the Clemson quarterback or it is good to be a long afternoon in South Carolina.
All seems right with Clemson now. They have won their last two games and have responded well after losing to Syracuse. As it is been all season long, the key for the Tigers is to simply play their style of game and set the tempo.
Kelly Bryant continues to look absolutely brilliant for Clemson, throwing for 1773 yards and seven touchdowns while rushing for 548 and nine more scores. Bryant also has a talented group of running backs behind him, including Tavern Featser and Travis Etienne who have each run for over 500 yards well. This makes it incredibly difficult to try to slow down the claims in the offense because there are so many weapons available.
The Tigers have a relentless defense, which has recorded 33 sacks so far this season. The two leaders in this category are Austin Bryant and Clellin Ferrell, who each have 6.5, but 15 different players have been involved in a sack this season. They are difficult to control and the Seminoles offensive line is definitely going to have their hands full on this day.
Seminoles vs. Tigers Betting Lines
Realistically, Florida State has very little chance of winning this game. It’s simply a matter of whether they can keep themselves within 16 points. While the Seminoles have not played well, there is still a great deal of pride there which makes it likely that they keep this within two scores. For that reason, take Florida State and the points, and expect this game to be slightly under 46.
My Pick: Florida State +16 (-110)
Totals: Under 46.0 (-110)