Florida State vs. Boston College College Football Betting Pick 11/9/19


The Florida State Seminoles (+2) are traveling north to take on their in-conference rival Boston College Eagles at Alumni Stadium. This afternoon matchup is scheduled to get underway at 12:00 p.m. ET and ACC Network has the TV rights.

Florida State vs. Boston College Betting Odds 11/9/2019

The spread for this ACC matchup is placed at 2 points in favor of Boston College. The Seminoles are currently getting +100 moneyline odds while the Eagles are -120. This ACC matchup will likely offer some in-game betting opportunities. The over/under is set at 62 points.

Betting odds have swayed slightly from when they were originally posted. The line opened at -1 and the game’s O/U was set initially at 61.5.

The Seminoles are 4-5 straight up (SU), including 3-4 SU against conference opponents. The Eagles are 5-4 SU overall and 3-3 SU in conference play. The Seminoles are down 3.6 units so far and 3-5-1 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an Over-Under record of 3-6.

The hapless Eagles have lost 13.3 units this season. They’re 6-3 ATS and have an O/U record of 7-2.

The Noles dropped one to Miami (FL) 27-10 in a blowout where Alex Hornibrook completed 17 passes on 24 attempts for just 135 yards, along with a TD and an interception. Cam Akers (66 rushing yards on 22 attempts) and the signal-caller Hornibrook (-51 yards on 10 carries) led the ground attack in the loss. Tamorrion Terry (four receptions, 40 yards) and D.J. Matthews (four catches, 24 yards) shared the receiving duties.

Boston College just earned a sound 58-27 win over Syracuse. The Eagles defense allowed the Orange to run for 159 yards on 42 rush attempts. Trishton Jackson had a good outing in the defeat, posting 148 yards and two touchdowns on eight catches for Syracuse. For Boston College, Dennis Grosel completed eight-of-10 passes for 195 yards and three touchdowns. AJ Dillon (242 rushing yards on 35 attempts, three TDs) and David Bailey (172 yards on 16 carries, two TDs) spearheaded the ground game in the win while Kobay White (two receptions, 83 yards, one TD) and Zay Flowers (two catches, 59 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps.

Florida State has run the ball on 51.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Boston College has an overall rush percentage of 68.1 percent. The Seminoles have rushed for 128 yards per game (including 119 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have 15 scores via handoffs this year. The Eagles are logging 282 rush yards per contest (282 in conference) and have 23 total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Eagles ought to hold an edge when it comes to quarterback protection, as their offensive line has allowed only five sacks while their D-line has logged 11 sacks. The Seminoles O-line has allowed 34 sacks and their defense has recorded only 26 sacks.

The Noles have tallied 265 yards/contest in the air overall (254 per game versus conference opposition) and have 18 passing scores so far. The Eagles have put up 199 pass yards per outing (206.3 against ACC foes) and have 17 total pass TDs.

Florida State should hold an edge in both areas of the defense. The team’s allowed opponents to rush for an average of 155 yards and throw for 279 yards per game. Boston College has allowed 185.3 rushing yards per game and 297.4 to opposing teams in the air. The Noles are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.29 to opposing QBs, while the Eagles have given up an 8.11 ANY/A.

Hornibrook is up to 790 passing yards on the year. He’s completed 69-of-96 attempts with seven passing touchdowns and only two interceptions. Hornibrook has a 6.37 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 3.87 over the last two games.

In the home locker room, Dennis Grosel has tallied 430 yards, six TDs and one INT. Grosel’s ANY/A sits at 9.02 for the season and 11.08 over his last two games.

When these two teams met a year ago, Florida State earned the win 22-21.

Florida State Seminoles vs. Boston College Eagles Free NCAA Betting Tip

SU Winner – Florida State, ATS Winner – Florida State, O/U – Under


Team Betting Trends

The Boston College offense has lost four fumbles this season while Florida State has lost five.

The Florida State defense has 26 sacks on the year while Boston College has just 11.

Florida State has produced 3.3 yards per carry over its past three games and 3.1 over its last two.

Boston College has averaged 6.0 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.4 over its past two.

In its last three matches, Boston College is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

The Over/Under for Florida State’s previous game was set at 50. The under cashed in the team’s 27-10 loss to Miami (FL).

In its last three matches, Florida State is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The Over/Under for Boston College’s previous game was set at 59.5. The over cashed in the team’s 58-27 win over Syracuse.

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