ESPN will air this week 13 CFB game between the Seminoles and Gators at 7:00 (11/25/23). The game is slated for Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville (FL). Florida State is set to take on the Gators in this non-conference matchup, and they are favored by 6.5 on the road. Read on for my analysis and betting angles.
FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES VS FLORIDA GATORS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Florida Gators +6.5
This game will be played at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium at 7:00 ET on Saturday, November 25th.
WHY BET THE FLORIDA GATORS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 28-24 in favor of Florida State.
- Even though we have Florida State winning straight-up, we like Florida at +6.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 51.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 52 points.
Will Florida State Live Up to Expectations on the Road?
Florida State carries a 11-0 record into this week’s game. This season, they’ve had three away games and six home contests.
So far, Florida State has been favored eight times and the underdog in one game. This has led to an ATS record of 5-4 and an average scoring differential of +23.2.
So far this season, Florida State boasts an over/under record of 6-3. On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 57 points, while the average over/under line has been 51.9 points.
Florida State’s rushing attack is ranked 73rd in college football with 355 rushing attempts per game. This has translated into an average of 163.5 rushing yards per game, placing them 62nd nationally. On average, they are attempting 32.6 passes per game leading to 289.4 passing yards per contest. In terms of scoring, they hold the 7th position, averaging 40.1 points per game.
Florida State’s defense enters the game ranked 176th in passing yards allowed per game. Opponents throw the ball an average of 30.4 times against the Seminoles. They have given up 16.9 PPG, which ranks 58th in college football. In terms of rushing yards allowed, they stand at 61st in the NCAA.
Does Florida Stand a Chance at Home?
So far, the Florida Gators are 5-6, including going 1-4 on the road and 3-1 at home.
Against the spread, Florida has gone 4-5 this season. The Gators have been favored two times compared to seven games as the underdog.
So far in this season, Florida has posted an over/under record of 6-3. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 57.5 points, with the typical over/under line set at 51.5 points.
The Gators’ offense is set to face Florida State while averaging 155.3 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. In the national rankings, they currently stand at 68th for rushing yards and 31st for passing yards, with an average of 272.7 yards per matchup. Overall, Florida is putting up 29.6 points per game, which is 46th nationally.
Florida’s defense ranks 115th in points allowed, with 27.9 points given up per game. Teams have been averaging 235.1 passing yards against them (117th nationally). On the ground, they’ve conceded 163.5 rushing yards, putting them 107th in college football.