Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Eagles and Dolphins. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Dolphins at Swisher Gymnasium in Jacksonville, FL. Get ready to place your bets! This Atlantic Sun conference matchup has an over/under of 130 points, and Jacksonville is favored to win by -1.5 at home vs. Florida Gulf Coast.


The Pick: Jacksonville Dolphins -1.5

This game will be played at Swisher Gymnasium at 7:00 ET on Friday, March 1st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Dolphins.
  • Not only will Jacksonville pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 130 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Will Florida Gulf Coast Pull Through as the Underdog Road Team?

Florida Gulf Coast has a record of 13-17 this season, and they come into this game on a two-game winning streak. They have gone 7-5 when they have been favored this year, and they are 3-12 when they have been the underdog.

On the road, the Eagles have gone 4-11 this season, and their average scoring margin is -3.3 points per game. In their last 10 games away from home, they have gone 3-7.

As the underdog this season, Florida Gulf Coast has gone 7-8 vs. the spread. On the road, the Eagles are 8-7 ATS and they have gone 6-4 vs. the spread in their last 10 road games. Overall, FGCU is 14-13 vs. the spread this season.

Florida Gulf Coast’s over/under record this season is 11-16 and today’s line of 130 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (142.8). So far, 23 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, their games have averaged 149 points compared to their season average of 142.1.

Florida Gulf Coast is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 79 points vs. North Florida. This figure is more than their season average of 71 points per game. Isaiah Thompson led the scoring for the Eagles, contributing 26 points. Additionally, Dallion Johnson chipped in with 12 points.

The Eagles’ defense is presently ranked 158th nationally, allowing an average of 71.7 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 8.0 threes per game vs. Jacksonville. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.5%.

Can Jacksonville Lock in a Home Win?

After losing their last game to Stetson, the Jacksonville Dolphins come into this matchup with a 14-15 record. At home, they have been much better this season, going 9-2 compared to 2-13 on the road.

So far this season, the Dolphins have been favored in nine of their 29 games, going 7-2 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin at home is +6.1 points per game.

As the favorite this season, Jacksonville is 4-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Dolphins are 4-6 ATS. At home this year, Jacksonville has an ATS record of 7-4 and they have gone 5-3 vs. the spread in their last 10 home games.

So far this season, the over/under record for Jacksonville sits at 15-11. Today’s over/under line of 130 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (142.5). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 136 points compared to their season average of 143.2 points per game. Over their last 10 games, their OU record is 2-8.

In their previous game, the Dolphins’ offense finished with 73 points, which is right in line with their current average of 71.3 points per contest. In terms of offense, the Dolphins have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, putting them 288th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 337th in percentage and 287th in three-pointers made.

At present, the Dolphins’ defense is nationally ranked 173rd, allowing 72.1 points per game. Against Stetson in their most recent game, the Jacksonville defense gave up a total of 86 points while allowing Stetson to hit 45% of their shots.