Planning on watching today’s Gators and Commodores game? Catch the action at Memorial Gymnasium (TN) in Nashville, TN, as the Commodores hosts this showdown at 4:30 ET on SECN. Florida come into this Southeastern conference matchup as the -9.5 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 151.5 points.

FLORIDA GATORS VS VANDERBILT COMMODORES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Vanderbilt Commodores +9.5

This game will be played at Memorial Gymnasium (TN) at 4:30 ET on Saturday, March 9th.

WHY BET THE VANDERBILT COMMODORES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Commodores.
  • Not only will Vanderbilt pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +9.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 151.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will the Florida Defense Show Up on the Road?

Florida is 21-9 overall and 11-5 in the Southeastern Conference. They are 5-7 on the road compared to 16-1 at home. The Gators have won eight straight games at home.

Florida has been favored in 23 of their 30 games this season and they are 19-4 in those games. Their average scoring margin at home is +14.9 compared to -1.8 on the road.

Florida has an ATS record of 13-16 this season, including a mark of 6-6 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Gators have gone 5-5 ATS.

Florida’s over/under record this season is 17-11-1, and the average scoring total in its games is 161.7. Today’s over/under line of 151.5 is lower than the average OU line in Gators’ games (155.9). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average scoring total of 169 points.

The Florida offense is coming off a game where they scored 105 points against Alabama. They posted a field goal percentage of 46.8% and connected on 7 threes. The team’s top scorer is Walter Clayton Jr., who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 17.1, while Zyon Pullin also maintains a PPG average of 15.5 leading up to the game.

Looking at the Florida defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 77.5 points per game (302nd). In their previous game vs. Alabama, the Crimson Tide finished with a field goal percentage of 46% and a total of 87 points vs. Florida.

Do the Commodores Have What it Takes to Win as Home Underdogs?

Despite being 3-19 as an underdog this season, Vanderbilt has been given a 9.5-point spread tonight at home against Florida. The Commodores are 7-12 at home this season, and they are coming off a loss to Kentucky.

So far, Vanderbilt has gone 3-14 in SEC play, and they are 8-22 overall. Over their last 10 games at home, the Commodores have gone 3-7, and they are 2-3 in their last five at home.

As the underdog, Vanderbilt’s ATS record this season is 10-11-1. At home, their ATS mark is 8-11. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Commodores have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Vanderbilt games is 10-20 and today’s over/under line of 151.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (143). So far, 24 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 157 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 2-1.

Vanderbilt finished with 77 points in their game against Kentucky. This total surpasses their season-average of 67 points per game. Tyrin Lawrence was the leading scorer for the Commodores, putting up 23 points. In addition, Ezra Manjon contributed 17 points.

Facing Florida, Vanderbilt aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 75.3 points allowed per game (261st). Against Kentucky, the Commodores’ defense gave up 93 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Kentucky only made 8 free-throws.