The Gators and Tigers are set to face off at 8:00 ET on ESPNU. The Tigers will host the game at Mizzou Arena in Columbia, MO. The Gators are favored in this Southeastern conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 160.5 points.


The Pick: Missouri Tigers +3

This game will be played at Mizzou Arena at 8:00 ET on Saturday, January 20th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Tigers.
  • Not only will Missouri pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 160.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can The Gators Secure a Road Victory?

Florida enters this game as a three-point favorite, and they have been the favored team in 15 of their 17 games this season, going 11-4 in those contests. So far, the Gators are 11-6 overall, including a 1-3 mark in Southeastern Conference action.

On the road, Florida has struggled this season, going just 2-5. Their average scoring margin on the road is -5.0, and they have lost two straight games away from home.

Against the spread, Florida has not been a good bet this season with a record of 6-11. Their ATS mark is just 2-5 on the road and 6-9 when favored. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Gators are just 4-6 vs. the spread.

Florida’s over/under record for the season sits at 11-5-1, and the average over/under line in their games is 154.3. So far this year, 14 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line of 160.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 165 points, which is higher than their season average of 161.7 points per game.

In their latest game, Florida offense put up 66 points against Tennessee. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 29.4% and made 5 threes. The team’s top scorer is Walter Clayton Jr., who enters today’s matchup with an average of 15.9, while Tyrese Samuel also carries a PPG average of 13.4 into the game.

The Gators’ defense is presently ranked 258th nationally, allowing an average of 76.5 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Florida’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.9% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 33.4% this season.

Are Missouri Ready for a Home Win?

Missouri comes into this game as the underdog, with a record of 8-9 overall and 0-4 in the Southeastern Conference. They have lost four games in a row, including their most recent game against Alabama by a score of 93-75.

At home this season, the Tigers have gone 6-6, and over their last ten games at home, they are 5-5. So far, they have been the underdog in five games, going 1-4 in those contests.

As the underdog this season, Missouri has gone 2-3 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS mark is just 5-12. At home, their ATS record is 2-10 and they are 1-4 vs. the spread over their last five home games.

This season, the over/under record for Missouri games is 8-9 and today’s over/under line of 160.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (150.4). So far, 12 of their games have finished with less points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 157 points and the over/under record is 3-0 during this stretch.

The Tigers’ offense wrapped up their last game with 75 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 75.5 points per contest. The Missouri offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 25.4 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 33% of their looks from outside this season.

On defense, Missouri is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 73.9 points per game. In their previous game vs. Alabama, the Crimson Tide finished with a field goal percentage of 52% and a total of 93 points vs. Missouri.