Planning on watching today’s Gators and Wildcats game? Catch the action at Rupp Arena in Lexington, KY, as the Wildcats hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 171 points, and Kentucky is favored by -6 to win at home against Florida.


The Pick: Kentucky Wildcats -6

This game will be played at Rupp Arena at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, January 31st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Wildcats.
  • Not only will Kentucky pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -6.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 171 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will Florida Be The Talk of Rupp Arena?

Florida comes into this game with a record of 14-6 and a two-game win streak. They are 3-3 in Southeastern Conference play compared to their non-conference record of 11-3. On the road, the Gators are 3-5 this season, and their average scoring margin is -2.9 points per game.

So far, Florida has been the underdog in two games, and they have yet to win as the underdog. They have been the favorite in 17 games, going 13-4 in those matchups. In their last game, the Gators defeated Mississippi State by a score of 79-70.

As the underdog, Florida has struggled against the spread this season, going 0-2. Their overall ATS mark for the year is just 8-11. On the road, the Gators are 3-5 vs. the spread this season and have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games as the visiting team.

Today’s over/under line of 171 for the Florida Gators’ game against Kentucky is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (154.5). So far, 15 of their games have finished with less points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 164 points.

Florida’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 79 points vs. Mississippi State. Overall, they hit 42.2% of their shots from the field and went 17/20 from the free-throw line. Will Richard was the leading scorer for the Gators, putting up 23 points. In addition, Walter Clayton Jr. contributed 15 points.

Coming into today’s game, the Florida defense is giving up an average of 76.8 points per contest. Florida’s three-point defense is currently 107th in the country at 6.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.2% of their shots vs. Florida.

Will the Wildcats Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

At home this season, Kentucky has gone 11-2, and they have won their last five games at Rupp Arena. So far, the Wildcats are 13-2 when favored, and they come into this game as six-point favorites.

Overall, Kentucky is 15-4, and they have gone 5-2 in Southeastern Conference play. In their most recent game, the Wildcats defeated Arkansas, 63-57, and they have gone 9-1 in their last 10 home games.

When looking at Kentucky’s ATS record this season, they are currently 11-8. At home, they have gone 8-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Wildcats have gone 6-4. In their last three games as the favorite, Kentucky is 0-3 ATS.

So far this season, the over/under record for Kentucky games sits at 14-5. The average over/under line in their games is 155.3 and today’s line of 171 is higher than 18 of their games. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 153 points.

Most recently, the Kentucky offense finished with just 63 points vs. Arkansas. For the game, they hit 9/20 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 36.5%. Antonio Reeves was the leading scorer for the Wildcats, putting up 24 points. In addition, Reed Sheppard contributed 14 points.

At this time, the Wildcats’ defense is positioned 258th in the country, permitting 76.3 points per game. The Kentucky defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 57 points and allowed Arkansas to connect on 4 threes.