Looking to win big? The Gators and Tigers face off at 1:00 ET on ESPN. The Tigers are hosting the game at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN. This Southeastern conference matchup has an over/under of 155.5 points, and Auburn is favored to win by -5.5 at home vs. Florida.


The Pick: Auburn Tigers -5.5

This game will be played at Bridgestone Arena at 1:00 ET on Sunday, March 17th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Tigers.
  • Not only will Auburn pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 155.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Does Florida Have A Chance at Bridgestone Arena?

Florida is 21-10 this season, including a 15-6 mark in the Southeastern Conference. The Gators have won four straight games and are 7-8 on the road this year. They have gone 4-6 in their last 10 road games.

As the underdog, Florida is 4-4 this season. The Gators’ average scoring margin on the road is +0.4 points per game.

As the underdog, Florida has gone 5-3 vs. the spread this season and 16-18 overall. On the road, the Gators are 8-7 ATS this year and 6-4 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

Florida’s over/under record for the season is 22-11-1 and today’s line of 155.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (156.8). So far, 14 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 180 points and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 9-1.

Florida’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 95 points against Texas A&M. They had an overall field goal percentage of 49.1% and made 27/35 free throws. Walter Clayton Jr. is leading the team in scoring at 17.3 points per contest. Zyon Pullin has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 15.6 going into the game.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, Florida is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 78.6 points per game (323rd). In their most recent game, the Florida defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Texas A&M knocked down 14 three-pointers on their way to 90 points.

Will Auburn Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

At home this season, Auburn has been dominant with a record of 18-1 and an average scoring margin of +19.7 points per game. Over their last ten games at home, the Tigers are 9-1.

Overall, Auburn is 24-7 this season and they have won six straight games. They are 27-5 this season when favored.

As the favorite this season, Auburn has gone 21-11 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tigers are 6-4 ATS. At home, Auburn has an ATS record of 12-7 this year and they have gone 7-3 vs. the spread in their last 10 home games.

The over/under record for Auburn games this season is 14-20 and the average over/under line in their games is 150.1. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 149 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2. On the year, 20 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 155.5.

In contrast to their season average of 83.2 points per game, the Auburn had a below average performance. They scored 73 points against Mississippi State and had a field goal percentage of 50%. In terms of three-point shooting, the Tigers offense has been good from outside, hitting 35% of their three-pointers on an average of 22.9 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 47%.

Currently, the Tigers’ defense holds the 64th rank in the nation, allowing 67.7 points per game. Auburn’s three-point defense is currently 45th in the country at 5.8 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 38.2% of their shots vs. Auburn.