The Gators and Crimson Tide are set to face off at 9:30 ET on SECN. The Crimson Tide will host the game at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN. The over/under for this Southeastern conference contest is set at 170.5 points, with Alabama being favored by -4 at home against Florida.


The Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide -4

This game will be played at Bridgestone Arena at 9:30 ET on Friday, March 15th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Crimson Tide.
  • Not only will Alabama pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 170.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can Florida Deliver Being Underdogs on the Road?

Florida heads into this game as a four-point underdog, and they have gone 2-4 this season when they are the underdog. The Gators have gone 21-10 this season, and they are 12-6 in Southeastern Conference play. They are coming off of an 85-80 win over Georgia, and they have gone 4-6 in their last 10 road games.

So far, Florida has gone 5-8 on the road this season, and their average scoring margin in road games is -1.7. The Gators have gone 17-1 at home this season, and they have won their last nine games at home. This season, they have been the favorite in 25 of their 31 games, and they have gone 20-5 in those games.

Against the spread this season, Florida is 13-18. On the road, the Gators have gone 6-7 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the underdog, Florida has an ATS record of 5-5.

Florida’s over/under record this season is 19-11-1 and the average scoring total in their games is 161.6 points. Today’s over/under line of 170.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (155.8). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 171 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 3-0.

Florida’s offense had a good outing, putting up 85 points against Georgia. They achieved a 43.8% field goal percentage and went 23/41 from the free-throw line. Offensively, the Gators have a season long field goal percentage of 45%, which is 127th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 219th in percentage and 151st in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Gators’ defense is positioned 299th in the country, permitting 77.7 points per game. In today’s game vs. Alabama, the Florida defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Florida made 23 free-throws vs. the Gators.

Do the Crimson Tide Have What it Takes at Home?

Alabama will be looking to bounce back from a loss in their last game, a 105-87 defeat to Florida. The Crimson Tide are 21-10 overall and 11-5 in Southeastern Conference action.

At home this season, Alabama has gone 12-2, and they have a scoring margin of +22.9 points per game. Over their last 10 games at home, the Crimson Tide are 9-1.

Alabama has an ATS record of 17-12 this season and are 11-3 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Crimson Tide have gone 7-3 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Alabama games is 21-8. The average over/under line in their games is 162, and today’s line of 170.5 is higher than the average scoring total in their games of 170.2. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

Coming off their recent game, the Alabama offense tallied 87 points in a matchup against Florida. Their field goal percentage for the game was 44.3%, and they made 5 threes. Offensively, the Crimson Tide hold a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, placing them 54th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 62nd in terms of percentage and 2nd in three-pointers made.

So far, the Crimson Tide’s defense is ranked 327th in the country at 80.4 points per contest. Alabama’s three-point defense is currently 149th in the country at 7.4 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 44.1% of their shots vs. Alabama.