The Owls and Bulls are set to face off at 12:00 ET on ESPN. The Bulls will host the game at Yuengling Center in Tampa, FL. Florida Atlantic is favored by -5.5 in this American Athletic conference contest against South Florida. The game’s over/under currently sits at 147.5 points.


The Pick: South Florida Bulls +5.5

This game will be played at Yuengling Center at 12:00 ET on Sunday, February 18th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-67 in favor of the Bulls.
  • Not only will South Florida pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 147.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Is a Win at Tampa Possible for the Owls?

Florida Atlantic enters this game with a 20-5 record, including a 9-2 mark in American Athletic Conference play. The Owls have been especially strong at home, going 12-1 this season, compared to a 7-4 record on the road.

Florida Atlantic has been the favorite in 22 of its 25 games this season, going 17-5 in those contests. The Owls have won four of their last five games on the road and are coming off an 80-68 win over Temple.

Florida Atlantic has an ATS record of 11-13 this season. On the road, they are 4-7 vs. the spread. As the favorite, the Owls have gone 9-13 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 3-7 vs. the spread.

Florida Atlantic’s over/under record this season sits at 12-12 and the average scoring total in their games is 154.5 points. So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 147.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 157 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 6-4.

Florida Atlantic’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Temple, finishing the game with a total of 80 points. Their season average is now 83.3 points per game. Offensively, the Owls hold a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, placing them 51st in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 85th in terms of percentage and 39th in three-pointers made.

At present, the Owls’ defense is nationally ranked 177th, allowing 72.1 points per game. Florida Atlantic’s three-point defense is currently 162nd in the country at 7.4 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.7% of their shots vs. Florida Atlantic.

Can South Florida Lock in a Home Win?

South Florida has been dominant at home this season, going 13-2 with an average scoring margin of +10.8 points per game. They have won their last 11 games at home, and they are 10-0 in their last 10.

Overall, the Bulls have won 10 straight games, and they are 18-5 on the season. In American Athletic Conference play, they have gone 11-1, and they are 7-4 in non-conference games.

South Florida has been a solid bet all season long, going 15-5-3 against the spread. At home, their ATS record is 11-3-1, including a perfect 3-0 mark in their last three games. As the underdog, the Bulls are 4-2-1 vs. the spread this year and 5-4-1 in their last 10 games in that role.

South Florida’s over/under record this season is 7-16, and today’s over/under line of 147.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (146.6). This year, 17 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s over/under line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 131 points.

In contrast to their season average of 74.8 points per game, the South Florida had a below average performance. They scored 69 points against Tulsa and had a field goal percentage of 45.8%. Offensively, the Bulls have a season long field goal percentage of 43%, which is 271st in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 120th in percentage and 54th in three-pointers made.

The Bulls’ defense is presently ranked 82nd nationally, allowing an average of 68.0 points per contest. In their most recent game, the South Florida defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Tulsa knocked down 13 three-pointers on their way to 50 points.