Betting on today’s Owls and Mean Green game? Catch the action at UNT Coliseum in Denton, TX, as the Mean Green hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. In this American Athletic matchup, Florida Atlantic is favored by -2 vs. North Texas. The over/under for the game is 136.5 points.


The Pick: North Texas Mean Green +2

This game will be played at UNT Coliseum at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, March 6th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Mean Green.
  • Not only will North Texas pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 136.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will Florida Atlantic Find a Way to Win on the Road?

Florida Atlantic has been the favorite in 27 of their 29 games this season, and they come into this one with a record of 20-7 as the favorite. On the road, they are 8-6 this season, but their average scoring margin is +5.1 points per game.

After defeating Tulane 79-73 in their last game, the Owls are 22-7 overall. They have gone 5-5 in their last 10 road games, and their average scoring margin at home this season is +14.5 points per game.

Florida Atlantic has an ATS record of 13-16 this season and is 5-9 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Owls have gone 4-6 vs. the spread.

Florida Atlantic’s over/under record this year is 14-15 and the average over/under line in their games is 150.8. So far, 24 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 136.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 150 points and their OU record during this stretch is 0-3.

In their most recent game, the Owls’ offense tallied 79 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 82.8 points per game. The top scorer for the Owls was Vladislav Goldin with 21 points, while Alijah Martin also added 13 to the scoreboard.

On defense, Florida Atlantic is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 72.9 points per game. So far, the Florida Atlantic defense is giving up an average of 10.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.7 times per game (474th).

Is a Home Win Possible for the Mean Green?

North Texas is 16-12 overall and 9-7 in American Athletic Conference play. They have won two straight games and are 9-6 at home this season, compared to 5-6 on the road.

North Texas is 1-8 as an underdog this season. In their last game, they defeated East Carolina 84-69. Over their last 10 home games, they are 7-3.

North Texas has an ATS record of 16-10 this season and they are 9-6 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Mean Green have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 136.5 is higher than the average over/under line in North Texas’ games this season (129.2). So far, 19 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 144 points.

North Texas’ offense is coming off a strong performance vs. East Carolina, finishing the game with a total of 84 points. Their season average is now 68.3 points per game. The team’s top scorer is Jason Edwards, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 18.6, while Aaron Scott also carries a PPG average of 11.4 into the game.

So far, the Mean Green’s defense is ranked 9th in the country at 62.0 points per contest. North Texas’ defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the East Carolina offense to knock down 50% of their shots on their way to putting up 69 points.