FL1 Match of the Day Round 24 – Nice vs. Lyon (2/10/19)


The Kids are hoping to continue with their winning streak and extend it to six games, while the Eagles are looking to bounce back after a massive defeat to Lille. The game between Nice and Lyon will take place at the Allianz Riviera on February 10th, 2019.


Three-Way: 1: Nice +375; X: +300 Draw; 2: Lyon -143 at BetDSI Sportsbook

Spread +0.5: Nice +110; Lyon -143

Total 2.5 goals: Over -133; Under +104


The hosts come into this clash after a 4-0 humiliation away to second-placed Lille last weekend. If Nice lose this one, it will likely be without scoring a goal, as they have failed to find the net in each of their seven losses during this Ligue 1 (L1) campaign.

With just nine home goals scored to date, no team has scored fewer home goals than Patrick Vieira’s Nice side this season. That’s none too surprising though, as Nice have failed to score in five of their 11 home games to date (45.5%) – a league-high!

Nice was in a four-game unbeaten run but Lille destroyed them as Rafael Leao, Nicolas Pepe, Jonathan Bamba, and Loic Remy all scored for the hosts who are now 12 points ahead of Vieira’s team who is fighting for the place that leads to the Europa League next term.

Patrick Vieira cannot count on Youcef Atal (thigh) and Pierre Lees Melou (suspension), while Yoan Cardinale (thigh), Danilo (ankle), Gautier Lloris (back), Jean-Victor Makengo (thigh), and Ihsan Sacko (ankle) are listed as questionable to face Lyon.

Betting Trends:

  • Nice striker Allan Saint-Maximin has six goals and two assists in L1 this season
  • Nice conceded eight of their 11 home goals in the second half, with half (four) coming in the last 15 minutes of games
  • Nice has been shown an average of 2.09 yellow cards per home match – the second-highest in L1


In contrast, on-fire Lyon has lost just one of their previous 14 top flight fixtures (W8, D5, L1), and are unbeaten across their last 13 competitive away matches (W8, D5), scoring at least two goals in ten of those games.

They’ve also averaged 1.73 goals per L1 away match this term – the division’s third-highest average. However, the fact that Lyon has recorded just two clean sheets across their 11 top flight away fixtures this term, indicates the strong possibility of goals at both ends.

Lyon made it to the quarter-finals of the Coupe de France as they beat Guingamp 2-1 on the road thanks to goals from Moussa Dembele and Maxwel Cornet, while Alexandre Mendy only managed to soften the defeat and set the final score in the 88th minute.

Bruno Genesio will be without Amine Gouiri (knee), while Rafael is listed as doubtful with a groin injury.

Betting Trends:

  • Lyon’s joint-top scorer Moussa Dembele has netted seven league goals, scoring five of those on the road
  • Lyon scored in all but two of their previous 27 L1 away games (W15, D7, L5), and both teams have scored in seven of Lyon’s 11 away league fixtures this campaign

Nice won four of the previous ten H2H encounters (D2, L4) including the first meeting of the season when they beat Lyon 1-0 on the road, while the Eagles were victorious in two of the past three duels at the Allianz Riviera. Nice is without a home loss in the last six league games and although Lyon is in a fine form at the moment, it will be hard for them to get another victory here and I am backing a draw as I cannot separate the rivals right now.

MY PICK: Draw (+300)

ADDITIONAL PICK: Three of the previous four H2H meetings produced three or more goals and even though the latest tilt produced only one goal, I am backing Lyon to score at least one here. Nice managed to keep their net intact in the last two home games in the Ligue 1 but that will not be the case in this one and I am backing over 2.5 goals.

MY PICK: Over 2.5 (-133)


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