The Golden Panthers and Blue Raiders are set to face off at 6:00 ET on ESPN+. The Blue Raiders will host the game at Murphy Athletic Center in Murfreesboro, TN. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 138 points, and Middle Tennessee is favored by -2.5 to win at home against FIU.


The Pick: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -2.5

This game will be played at Murphy Athletic Center at 6:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Blue Raiders.
  • Not only will Middle Tennessee pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Are the Golden Panthers Ready for a Win at Murfreesboro?

FIU is 0-8 on the road this season, and they have lost their last eight road games by an average of 12.2 points per game. They are 7-13 overall this season, including 2-3 in Conference USA games. So far, they have gone 0-9 as the underdog.

In their last game, the Golden Panthers lost to Western Kentucky by a score of 105-91. For the season, they have gone 6-4 when they are the favorite. So far, they have gone 5-10 in non-conference games.

FIU’s ATS record this season is 9-10, and they are 3-5 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, they are 4-5. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, FIU is 5-5 vs. the spread.

FIU’s over/under record for the season is 10-9 and today’s line of 138 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (148.9). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 160 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 2-1.

FIU’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 91 points against Western Kentucky. They had an overall field goal percentage of 40.5% and made 14/15 free throws. The team’s top scorer is Javaunte Hawkins, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 13.1, while Arturo Dean also maintains a PPG average of 12.4 leading up to the game.

Currently, the Golden Panthers’ defense holds the 259th rank in the nation, allowing 77.2 points per game. FIU’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Western Kentucky offense to knock down 65% of their shots on their way to putting up 105 points.

Can Middle Tennessee Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

Even though they are only 5-6 at home this season, Middle Tennessee is favored by 2.5 points in this one. For the season, the Blue Raiders are 5-5 when favored.

After winning their last game 75-67 against Jacksonville State, Middle Tennessee now has an overall record of 7-13. They are just 1-4 in Conference USA games.

As the favorite this season, Middle Tennessee has gone 4-6 vs. the spread. At home, the Blue Raiders are 4-7 ATS this year and over their last 10 home games, their ATS mark is just 2-6. In their last three games as the favorite, Middle Tennessee has gone 2-1 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 138 is higher than the average over/under line in Middle Tennessee’s games this year (133.3). So far, 13 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 136 points.

Middle Tennessee is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 75 points vs. Jacksonville State. This figure is more than their season average of 63 points per game. Offensively, the Blue Raiders have a season long field goal percentage of 40%, which is 378th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 394th in percentage and 301st in three-pointers made.

At present, the Blue Raiders’ defense is nationally ranked 54th, allowing 66.6 points per game. So far, the Middle Tennessee defense is giving up an average of 8.4 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 14 times per game (687th).