Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Stags versus the Mountaineers? Tip off is at at 4:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Knott Arena in Emmitsburg, MD. Fairfield is favored by -1 in this Metro Atlantic Athletic conference contest against Mount St. Mary’s. The game’s over/under currently sits at 148.5 points.


The Pick: Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers +1

This game will be played at Knott Arena at 4:00 ET on Saturday, March 9th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-69 in favor of the Mountaineers.
  • Not only will Mount St. Mary’s pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Taking a Look at the Stags Chances on the Road

With a 19-11 record, Fairfield heads into tonight’s game against Mount St. Mary’s as a one-point favorite. The Stags have gone 13-5 when favored, and they have a road average scoring margin of +0.9 this season.

Over the last 10 games, Fairfield has gone 7-3 on the road, and they are coming off a 74-62 win over Canisius. So far, the Stags have gone 9-7 on the road compared to 9-4 at home.

As the favorite this season, Fairfield has gone 9-9 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Stags have a mark of 4-6. On the road, Fairfield is 7-9 ATS this year and their last 3 road games vs. the spread sit at 1-2.

Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Fairfield’s games this season (144.2). So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those matchups is 133 points.

The Fairfield offense is coming off a game in which they scored 74 points vs. Canisius. Overall their field goal percentage was 47.5% while connecting on 10 threes. For the season, the Fairfield offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 45%. So far, they have hit 50% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 9.6 made three’s per contest.

At present, the Stags’ defense is nationally ranked 133rd, allowing 70.6 points per game. In their most recent game, the Fairfield defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Canisius knocked down 10 three-pointers on their way to 62 points.

Can the Mountaineers Pull Out the Win as Home Underdogs?

Mount St. Mary’s enters this game with a record of 13-17, including a 9-10 mark in conference play. They have gone 8-4 at home this season, compared to a 5-13 record on the road.

As the underdog, the Mountaineers have gone just 4-11 this season. They are coming off a 91-72 win over Niagara and have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games at home.

As the underdog this season, Mount St. Mary’s has gone 7-8 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Mountaineers have a record of 4-6 vs. the spread. At home this year, Mount St. Mary’s has an ATS mark of 6-6 and they are 2-1 vs. the spread in their last three home games.

Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Mount St. Mary’s games this season (138.9). So far, 19 of their 30 games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 139 points.

Coming off a good offensive performance, Mount St. Mary’s’ offense scored 91 points against Niagara. Their field goal percentage for the game was 62.5%, and they went 15/18 from the free-throw line. Deshayne Montgomery was the leading scorer for the Mountaineers, putting up 25 points. In addition, Dakota Leffew contributed 17 points.

Currently, the Mountaineers’ defense holds the 139th rank in the nation, allowing 70.8 points per game. Against Niagara in their most recent game, the Mount St. Mary’s defense gave up a total of 72 points while allowing Niagara to hit 44% of their shots.