Evansville at Arkansas College Basketball Pick

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Evansville at Arkansas College Basketball Pick

Last Updated: 2017-03-06

The Evansville Aces visit Bud Walton Arena to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks. The game starts at 9:00 pm ET on Tuesday, Dec. 8 and can be seen on SEC and ES3.

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The Razorbacks lost a close one to Wake Forest 88-85 on Friday. Manuale Watkins played well for the Razorbacks, finishing with 14 points, four rebounds, and three assists. The Aces are coming off an 85-81 win over Murray State on Saturday. Egidijus Mockevicius played well, accounting for 22 points and 12 rebounds to claim his sixth double-double of the season.

Arkansas is a small one-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at 158 points.

For updated lines, check out BTB’s College Basketball Odds.

The Razorbacks enter the game with records of 3-4 Straight Up (SU) and 1-3 Against The Spread (ATS). Arkansas is excellent from the perimeter, shooting an impressive .396 from three-point range. Spreading the ball around is a huge part of Arkansas’s offense. They are 17th in the nation in assists with an average of 18.4 per game.

Across the court, the Aces have records of 2-3-1 ATS and 7-1 SU. Evansville is one of the top shooting teams in the country, making .532 of its shots from the floor. The Aces are one of the top teams in the country at finding the open man with an average of 22.4 assists per game. Evansville may be taking trips to the free throw line early and often with the Razorbacks averaging 22.9 fouls per game, one of the highest marks in Division I.

This game marks the first time Arkansas and Evansville have played one another in recent seasons.

Predictions: SU Winner – Ark, ATS Winner – Ark, O/U – Over

Notes

Evansville is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Evansville’s last 7 games on the road.

Evansville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road.

Ranked 75th, the Evansville Aces have an offensive rating of 112.7. The Arkansas Razorbacks rank 258th with a defensive rating of just 106.4.

Arkansas has an average field goal percentage of 46.1%. Evansville is undefeated (2-0) when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.

The Arkansas Razorbacks and the Evansville Aces both rank higher in average field goal percentage when compared to their effective field goal percentages. Arkansas is 144th and 104th in the nation for eFG% and FG% respectively, while Evansville ranks 22nd and fourth in these categories.

Evansville ranks among the best in the nation with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.74 (ranked eighth). Arkansas is ranked in the top 25 at 17th with an A/TO of 1.63 this season.

Arkansas ranks 35th in offensive rebounding. When it comes to defensive rebounds, Evansville ranks 30th.

Arkansas has forced an average turnover rate of 21.8% this season. In games where its turnover rate is 21.8% or higher, Evansville is an even 1-1.

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