Looking to win big? The Aces and Beacons face off at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. The Beacons are hosting the game at Athletics-Recreation Center in Valparaiso, IN. The odds for this Missouri Valley conference game currently have Valparaiso as the -1 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 144.5 points.
EVANSVILLE ACES VS VALPARAISO BEACONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Valparaiso Beacons -1
This game will be played at Athletics-Recreation Center at 4:00 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.
WHY BET THE VALPARAISO BEACONS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-68 in favor of the Beacons.
- Not only will Valparaiso pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 144.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Does Evansville Have A Chance at Athletics-Recreation Center?
Evansville has been a much better team at home this season compared to on the road. They are 8-2 at home with an average scoring margin of +6.4 compared to 4-7 on the road with an average scoring margin of -11.1. The Aces have lost their last five road games and are 3-7 in their last 10.
Overall, Evansville is 13-9 and has won two games in a row. They are 7-8 when labeled as the underdog this season and are 5-1 when favored. So far in Missouri Valley play, they are 4-7 compared to 9-2 in non-conference games.
As the underdog this season, Evansville has a solid ATS record of 10-5. On the road, their ATS mark is 7-4, including a 1-2 mark in their last three road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Aces have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for Evansville games is 8-13. The average over/under line in their games is 145.5 and their games have averaged 145.8 points. Today’s over/under line of 144.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 and the average scoring total in those games is 127 points.
In their latest game, Evansville offense put up 77 points against UIC. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 51.1% and made 4 threes. Yacine Toumi is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 12 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Ben Humrichous brings a PPG average of 15.8 into the game.
So far, the Aces’ defense is ranked 196th in the country at 73.0 points per contest. In their previous game vs. UIC, the Flames finished with a field goal percentage of 51% and a total of 60 points vs. Evansville.
Will the Valparaiso Defense Show Up at Home?
Valparaiso is 3-2 this season when favored, and they are 4-7 at home. Their average scoring margin at home this season is -5.5 points per game.
Over their last 10 games at home, the Beacons are 4-6. In their most recent game, they lost to Drake by a score of 81-70.
Valparaiso’s ATS record this season is 13-7-1, including a mark of 5-6 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Beacons are 7-3 vs. the spread.
Valparaiso’s over/under record for the season is 10-11 and their games have an average of 139.9 points. Today’s over/under line of 144.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games this year (141.9). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 148 points and their last five games have averaged 151 points. So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line.
Coming off their recent game, the Valparaiso offense tallied 70 points in a matchup against Drake. Their field goal percentage for the game was 44.3%, and they made 8 threes. Isaiah Stafford was the leading scorer for the Beacons, putting up 32 points. In addition, Darius DeAveiro contributed 12 points.
So far, the Beacons’ defense is ranked 188th in the country at 72.7 points per contest. Valparaiso’s three-point defense is currently 125th in the country at 7.0 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.8% of their shots vs. Valparaiso.