Planning on watching today’s Aces and Flames game? Catch the action at Credit Union 1 Arena in Chicago, IL, as the Flames hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this game is set at 144 points, and UIC is favored by -2.5 vs. Evansville in a Missouri Valley conference matchup.


The Pick: UIC Flames -2.5

This game will be played at Credit Union 1 Arena at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, February 21st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-68 in favor of the Flames.
  • Not only will UIC pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 144 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can the Evansville Offense Score Enough on the Road?

Evansville enters this game as a 2.5-point underdog, and they have gone 9-11 in 20 games as the underdog this season. They are coming off a 86-79 loss to Illinois State and have lost three straight games, bringing their record to 15-12.

On the road this season, the Aces have gone just 5-9, and they have a scoring margin of -9.4 points per game. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone just 2-8.

As the underdog, Evansville has been solid vs. the spread this season, going 14-6. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Aces have an ATS record of 6-4.

Today’s over/under line of 144 is right in line with the average over/under line in Evansville’s games this season (144.9). On the year, their over/under record is 11-15. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 153 points, and their OU record during this stretch is 3-0. So far, 15 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line of 144.

The Evansville offense is coming off a game where they scored 79 points against Illinois State. They posted a field goal percentage of 50% and connected on 13 threes. Yacine Toumi is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 11.5 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Ben Humrichous brings a PPG average of 15.6 into the game.

At this time, the Aces’ defense is positioned 202nd in the country, permitting 73.1 points per game. Evansville’s three-point defense is currently 225th in the country at 8.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.0% of their shots vs. Evansville.

Will UIC Come Through as Home Favorites?

UIC comes into this game with a 10-17 overall record, including a 5-8 mark at home. They are also 4-5 this season when favored. In their last game, the Flames lost to Belmont, 75-60.

Over their last 10 home games, UIC has gone 3-7. For the season, they have an average scoring margin of +1.0 points per game at home.

As the favorite this season, UIC has gone just 3-6 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Flames are just 4-6 ATS. At home, UIC has gone 5-8 vs. the spread this year and their ATS record over their last 10 home games is 3-7.

Today’s over/under line of 144 is higher than the average over/under line in UIC games this season (140.2). So far, 18 of their games have finished with less than 144 points. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points.

UIC offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 60 points against Belmont. In that game, they made 8/29 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 33.8%. Leading the team in scoring was Toby Okani with 17 points. Isaiah Rivera also added 12 points for the Flames.

Currently, the Flames’ defense holds the 97th rank in the nation, allowing 69.0 points per game. Against Belmont, the Flames’ defense gave up 75 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Belmont only made 4 free-throws.