Looking to win big? The Aces and Panthers face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Panthers are hosting the game at McLeod Center in Cedar Falls, IA. The over/under for this game is set at 142 points, and the Panthers are the home favorites against the Aces in a Missouri Valley conference matchup.


The Pick: Evansville Aces +13

This game will be played at McLeod Center at 8:00 ET on Tuesday, January 23rd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Panthers.
  • Even though we have Northern Iowa winning straight-up, we like Evansville at +13.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 142 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will the Aces Pull Through as the Away Underdog?

Evansville enters tonight’s game as a 13-point underdog, and they have gone 6-7 in 13 games as the underdog this season. On the road, the Aces have gone 4-6 this season, and they have lost their last four games away from home.

Overall, Evansville is 11-8 this season, including a 2-6 record in Missouri Valley Conference games. They are coming off a 97-48 loss to Drake, and their record in their last 10 road games is 4-6.

Evansville has an ATS record of 10-8 this season and they are 6-4 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Aces are 5-5 vs. the spread. They have gone 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games as the underdog and their underdog ATS record this year is 8-5.

Evansville’s over/under record for the season sits at 8-10 and today’s line of 142 is in line with the average OU line in their games this season (146.3). So far, nine of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 145 points, which is similar to their season average of 148.9.

In their recent matchup, the Evansville offense ended with 48 points against Drake. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 35.6% and made 4 threes. Offensively, the Aces have a season long field goal percentage of 45%, which is 181st in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 192nd in percentage and 233rd in three-pointers made.

The Aces’ defense is presently ranked 224th nationally, allowing an average of 74.8 points per contest. Evansville’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Drake offense to knock down 63% of their shots on their way to putting up 97 points.

Will the Panthers Live Up to Expectations at Home?

Entering this game, Northern Iowa has a record of 11-8, including a 5-3 mark in Missouri Valley Conference play. The Panthers have won four straight games, including their most recent contest against Southern Illinois, which they won 61-57.

So far this season, Northern Iowa has gone 5-3 at home, with an average scoring margin of +2.6 points per game. Over their last 10 games at home, the Panthers have gone 7-3.

As the favorite, Northern Iowa has a solid ATS record of 6-3 this season. Their overall ATS mark is 10-8. At home, the Panthers are 5-3 vs. the spread this year and their ATS record in their last 10 home games is 6-3. In their last three home games, Northern Iowa is 1-2 ATS.

On the season, the over/under record in Northern Iowa games is 9-9 and today’s line of 142 is right in line with the average over/under line in their games (145.3). So far, 13 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 142 and today’s line is lower than the average scoring in their games this year (146). In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 134 points.

In their most recent game, the Northern Iowa offense put up just 61 points vs. the Southern Illinois Salukis. Overall, they are now averaging 74.8 points per game which is 197th in the country. Bowen Born led the team in scoring, putting up 16 points. Additionally, Nate Heise contributed 15 points for the Panthers.

Northern Iowa’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 70.8 points per game. The Northern Iowa defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 57 points and allowed Southern Illinois to connect on 3 threes.