The Aces and Redbirds are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Redbirds will host the game at Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO. The odds for this Missouri Valley conference game currently have Illinois State as the -3 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 135.5 points.

EVANSVILLE ACES VS ILLINOIS STATE REDBIRDS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Illinois State Redbirds -3

This game will be played at Enterprise Center at 7:00 ET on Thursday, March 7th.

WHY BET THE ILLINOIS STATE REDBIRDS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Redbirds.
  • Not only will Illinois State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 135.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can Evansville Stun the Crowd at Enterprise Center?

Evansville has lost seven straight games and is just 6-14 in Missouri Valley Conference play. The Aces are 15-16 overall and 9-15 as an underdog this season.

On the road, Evansville is 5-11 this season, and the Aces are coming off a 83-66 loss to Belmont. Over their last 10 games on the road, they have gone just 1-9.

As the underdog, Evansville has gone 0-3 vs. the spread in their last three road games and 0-5 vs. the spread in their last five games as the underdog. Overall, their ATS record this season is 17-13 and they are 14-10 vs. the spread as the underdog.

This season, the over/under record for Evansville games is 12-18 and today’s over/under line of 135.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games of 145.5. So far, 21 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 with an average scoring total of 139 points.

Evansville offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 66 points against Belmont. In that game, they made 7/28 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 36.8%. Yacine Toumi is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 10.8. Meanwhile, Ben Humrichous also brings a PPG average of 15.2 into the game.

So far, the Aces’ defense is ranked 230th in the country at 74.1 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Evansville’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 35.2% this season.

Can Illinois State Live Up to the Hype at Home?

Illinois State will look to bounce back from a tough 75-72 loss to Valparaiso in their last game. The Redbirds have been strong at home this season, going 10-6 and they have won three straight games at home.

On the year, Illinois State has been favored in 14 of their 31 games and they are 8-6 in those games. Their average scoring margin at home is +1.2 points per game and they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games at home.

Illinois State has an ATS record of 14-16 this season. At home, their ATS mark is 8-8. Over their last three games at home, the Redbirds are 2-1 vs. the spread. However, their ATS record as the favorite this year is just 6-8. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Illinois State is 4-6.

Today’s over/under line of 135.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Illinois State’s games this season (138.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 129 points, and their over/under record in their last three games is 2-1.

In their recent matchup, the Illinois State offense ended with 72 points against Valparaiso. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 53.6% and made 8 threes. The team’s top scorer is Myles Foster, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 12.2, while Darius Burford also maintains a PPG average of 13.2 leading up to the game.

So far, the Redbirds’ defense is ranked 71st in the country at 67.9 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Illinois State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.5% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.0% this season.