Betting on today’s Aces and Redbirds game? Catch the action at CEFCU Arena in Normal, IL, as the Redbirds hosts this showdown at 3:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this game is set at 135.5 points, and Illinois State is favored by -4.5 vs. Evansville in a Missouri Valley conference matchup.


The Pick: Illinois State Redbirds -4.5

This game will be played at CEFCU Arena at 3:00 ET on Sunday, February 18th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Redbirds.
  • Not only will Illinois State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 135.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can Evansville Lock in a Road Win?

The Evansville Aces will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak when they take on Illinois State on the road. So far this season, the Aces have gone 15-11, including a 6-9 record in Missouri Valley Conference play. They have gone 5-8 on the road, compared to 9-3 at home.

On the season, Evansville has been the underdog in 19 of their 26 games, going 9-10 in those contests. They have gone 2-8 in their last 10 road games, including a 1-4 record in their last five.

Evansville has been a strong bet against the spread this season, going 17-8 overall. Their ATS record as the underdog is an impressive 14-5. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Aces have gone 7-3 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 135.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Evansville’s games this season (145.3). So far, their over/under record is 10-15. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 and their average scoring total in those games is 145 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Evansville offense tallied 75 points in a matchup against Drake. Their field goal percentage for the game was 50%, and they made 8 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Yacine Toumi, who holds an average of 11.5 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Ben Humrichous is averaging 15.3 points per game this season.

Evansville’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 72.7 points per game. Against Drake in their most recent game, the Evansville defense gave up a total of 78 points while allowing Drake to hit 50% of their shots.

Can the Redbirds Pull Off a Home Win?

Illinois State enters this game with a 12-14 record, including a 6-9 mark in Missouri Valley Conference play. The Redbirds are 7-6 at home this season, but they have lost two straight games at home.

So far, Illinois State has been the favorite in 11 of its 26 games, going 6-5 in those games. The Redbirds’ average scoring margin at home this season is +.3 points per game.

Illinois State’s ATS record this season is 11-14, including a 6-7 mark at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Redbirds have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

Illinois State’s over/under record this season is 10-15 and today’s line of 135.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (139.5). So far, 16 of their games have finished with fewer points than 135.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 132 points.

The Illinois State offense is coming off a game where they scored 80 points against Indiana State. They posted a field goal percentage of 51.8% and connected on 4 threes. Offensively, the Redbirds hold a season-long field goal percentage of 41%, placing them 339th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 394th in terms of percentage and 326th in three-pointers made.

So far, the Redbirds’ defense is ranked 72nd in the country at 67.6 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Indiana State, the Sycamores finished with a field goal percentage of 36% and a total of 67 points vs. Illinois State.