Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Aces and Bruins. The game is starting at 5:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Bruins at Curb Event Center in Nashville, TN. Get ready to place your bets! This Missouri Valley conference matchup has an over/under of 155 points, and Belmont is favored to win by -10.5 at home vs. Evansville.


The Pick: Evansville Aces +10.5

This game will be played at Curb Event Center at 5:00 ET on Sunday, March 3rd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Bruins.
  • Even though we have Belmont winning straight-up, we like Evansville at +10.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 155 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will the Aces Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?

Evansville has lost six straight games and is 15-15 overall this season. The Aces are 6-13 in Missouri Valley Conference play and 9-2 in non-conference games. On the road, they are 5-10 compared to 9-5 at home.

As the underdog, Evansville is 9-14 this season. They have gone 2-8 in their last 10 road games, including a 1-4 mark in their last five.

As the underdog, Evansville has gone 14-9 against the spread this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 9-6. Over their last three road games, the Aces are 1-2 vs. the spread.

Evansville’s over/under record this season is 12-17 and today’s line of 155 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (145.2). So far, 21 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 145 points.

In contrast to their season average of 72.6 points per game, the Evansville had a below average performance. They scored 67 points against Indiana State and had a field goal percentage of 38.3%. Currently leading the team in scoring is Ben Humrichous who comes into today’s matchup averaging 15.2. Yacine Toumi also heads into the game with a PPG average of 11.

So far, the Aces’ defense is ranked 218th in the country at 73.8 points per contest. Against Indiana State in their most recent game, the Evansville defense gave up a total of 85 points while allowing Indiana State to hit 38% of their shots.

Can the Bruins Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

Belmont will be looking to extend their win streak to three games when they take on Evansville. The Bruins have gone 18-12 overall, including a 10-2 mark at home. Over their last three games at home, they have gone 3-0.

Belmont has been the favorite in 13 of their games this season, going 12-1 in those matchups. Coming into this game, they are favored by 10.5 points. So far this year, they have gone 11-8 in Missouri Valley Conference games.

Belmont has been solid against the spread this season with a 14-15 record. At home, they are 7-5 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the favorite, Belmont has gone 7-3 vs. the spread.

Belmont’s over/under record this season is currently 13-16. The average over/under line in their games is 154.1 points and the average scoring total is 154.7. Today’s over/under line of 155 is similar to the average over/under line in their games. So far, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2.

Coming off their recent game, the Belmont offense tallied 83 points in a matchup against Murray State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 53.3%, and they made 12 threes. Malik Dia is leading the team in scoring at 17.4 points per contest. Cade Tyson has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 16.7 going into the game.

The Bruins’ defense is presently ranked 279th nationally, allowing an average of 76.6 points per contest. The Belmont defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 61 points and allowed Murray State to connect on 4 threes.