Last Updated: 2019-08-08
The English Premier League will be played for the 28th time since the new format was introduced. It’ll kick-off on August 9 with a clash between European champions Liverpool, and newly-promoted Norwich City. Soccer in England already started with the Community Shield encounter between champions Manchester City and vice-champions Liverpool. The Citizens were better on penalties after a 1-1 score in regulation.
Pep Guardiola is looking for the third consecutive Premier League title after his team ended one point ahead of Liverpool in 2018-19. Jurgen Klopp’s side, on the other hand, is hoping to snap City’s run and finally bring the title back to Anfield. It’s probably going to be another two-horse race. Chelsea and Tottenham Hotspur completed top four last year while Arsenal and Manchester United are desperate for a bounce-back campaign.
Norwich City, Sheffield United, and Aston Villa earned promotion from the EFL Championship while Cardiff City, Fulham, and Huddersfield Town relegated to the second tier.
We experienced a turbulent transfer window in England this summer, and as expected, Manchester clubs spend the most money thus far. However, other Premier League teams are not far away as the newly-promoted Aston Villa spent around $165 million on reinforcements with a clear intent to stay in the elite. Perhaps surprisingly, Liverpool hasn’t made a significant transfer yet, and their fans are quite anxious to see a new name or two at Anfield.
England Premier League – Winner and Top 4 Finish Betting Odds
The reigning champions Manchester City is the most serious favorite to win its third straight title. Pep Guardiola spent a bit over $150 million on former Atletico Madrid midfielder Rodri and Portuguese right-back Joao Cancelo, who arrived from Juventus. The Citizens sold right-back Danilo to Juventus while Douglas Luiz (Aston Villa), Fabian Delph (Everton), and Vincent Kompany (Anderlecht), have all left the Etihad. The core of the squad remains the same, and the BetDSI Sportsbook is giving them -187 odds to defend the throne.
Liverpool is without a domestic title since 1990, and they came very close in the 2018-19 season, but Man City successfully defended the top spot. However, the Reds won the Champions League after defeating Tottenham in the final. Unlike their bitter rivals, Liverpool hasn’t spent big this summer, and they even earned some cash with sales of striker Danny Ings (Southampton) and goalkeeper Simon Mignolet (Club Brugge).
Klopp is happy with all areas in his team, and with the best defense in the Premier League, led by Virgil van Dijk and goalkeeper Alisson, Liverpool is still looking strong. Not to mention a fantastic front three of Mohamed Salah, Sadio Mane, and Roberto Firmino, and the most-talented full-backs in Britain. They are the second-biggest favorites to win the title at +275.
Tottenham Hotspur was pretty inactive in the previous two transfer windows, but this time around, they decided to spend some cash. Mauricio Pochettino bought midfielder Tanguy Ndombélé from Lyon for $67 million, and Spurs are expected to make a couple of more moves before the window shuts.
Kieran Trippier left for Atletico Madrid; Fernando Llorente is a free agent while striker Vincent Janssen joined the Mexican side Monterrey. Highest odds on Spurs to win the Premier League can be found at +2000. While that is for optimists, you can opt for Tottenham to finish in Top 4 at -175.
Manchester United experienced a forgettable season last year as they finished in the 6th position. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer was brave enough to break the world record by bringing defender Harry Maguire from Leicester City. The Red Devils paid $97 million for his services, making Maguire the most expensive defender on the planet. They also brought right-back Aaron Wan-Bissaka for $62 million from Crystal Palace while young winger Daniel James came from Swansea City.
Ander Herrera left for PSG and former captain Antonio Valencia to LDU Quito, both on free transfers. United is +4000 to win the Premier League, but they are still quality good enough to compete with Man City and Liverpool. Return to Top 4 is the whole another story, though, and the bookies are giving them +125 odds to secure Champions League spot.
Chelsea is also +4000 to win the EPL title while the highest odds on the Blues are to stay in top four after finishing the previous campaign in the 3rd place are +150. Maurizio Sarri won the Europa League last year and left for Juventus. Frank Lampard became Chelsea’s new manager after leaving Derby County. Mateo Kovacic is the only new arrival this summer following his loan spell from Real Madrid. The team is under transfer embargo while they sold Eden Hazard to Real Madrid for $112 million, so the Blues are facing troubles to remain in Top 4.
Arsenal lost the Europa League final and ended in the 5th place in the Premier League, so they are looking for better results this season. Unai Emery broke the club’s transfer record by bringing Nicolas Pepe from Lille for $90 million. He also got a couple of teenagers this summer; defender William Saliba from St Etienne, and Gabriel Martinelli from Brazilian team Ituano.
Dani Ceballos joined on loan from Real Madrid, but the Gunners lost Aaron Ramsey on a free transfer as the Welshman went to Juventus. Even though they have an excellent attack, Arsenal’s defense is not good enough to compete for the title, and the odds on them are +6600. They are +150 to end the campaign in Top 4.
England Premier League – Relegation Betting Odds
Newcomers Sheffield United and Norwich City are the biggest candidates to return to the EFL Championship, while Burnley and Brighton are among the teams who will likely battle relegation. Despite having the weakest individuals in their respective squads, both the Blades and the Canaries will fiercely fight for survival. Sheffield United is -137 to go down while Norwich City is +100 to return to relegate.
Brighton and Burnley survived last season but will face another relegation fight in 2019-20. The Clarets kept vital players and brought forward Jay Rodriguez and left-back Erik Pieters. Manager Sean Dyche didn’t make many changes this summer, which is a good sign for Burnley, who is +200 to drop to Championship.
On the other hand, Brighton will likely have more problems in the relegation battle after finishing with just two points ahead of the 18th-placed Cardiff City in 2018-19. They did invest over $70 million on new reinforcements including forwards Leandro Trossard and Neal Maupay, who came from Genk and Brentford, respectively. Brighton is also +200 to move to the Championship, and you could consider betting on the Seagulls to go down.
Rafa Benitez left Newcastle United and moved to China while the Magpies hired Steve Bruce as their new manager. Bruce quickly spent club’s record $50 million on striker Joelinton from Hoffenheim while he offloaded Ayoze Pérez to Leicester City for $37 million. Newcastle does have better players than teams mentioned above, but they could struggle to stay up this year with +200 odds on their relegation.
Another team at +200 and final side on our relegation list is Aston Villa. Despite spending a tremendous amount of money on new players in this transfer window, manager Dean Smith will have work to do with even 12 fresh faces. It’s not going to be easy to assemble a consistent starting eleven, but the Villans should be fine later in the season.
Another two-horse race for the Premier League title between Manchester City and Liverpool is on the cards. Minimum four teams will fight for Champions League places while Europa League places are also open for the team s like Wolves, Everton, and Leicester. The relegation battle is also going to be intriguing, so all we can do is to bet smart and enjoy the next ten months.
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