English Premier League Pick of the Day Round 2 – Manchester City vs. Tottenham Hotspur (8/17/19)

Date | AuthorAdmir Aljic

Last Updated: 2019-08-16

The Citizens didn’t have problems to destroy West Ham United in the opening EPL round while Spurs came from behind to beat Aston Villa at home, thanks to a fantastic Harry Kane. Pep Guardiola’s side is a huge favorite in this one, but Mauricio Pochettino’s men know how to play and are certainly no pushovers here. The match between Manchester City and Tottenham Hotspur will take place at Etihad Stadium on August 17th, 2019.

Manchester City vs. Tottenham Hotspur

Three-Way: 1: Manchester City -278; X: +425 Draw; 2: Tottenham Hotspur +700 at BetDSI Sportsbook

Spread -1.5: Manchester City +102; Tottenham Hotspur -111

Total 3 goals: Over -122; Under +100

MANCHESTER CITY

Manchester City started their title defense with a thumping 5-0 victory at West Ham. They will now try to emulate the home form that saw them win 18 of 19 PL matches at the Etihad last season, and lead at half-time in 13. They scored an impressive 3.0 goals on average per Premier League home fixture that campaign and even their top-six colleagues were blown away by the home attack as City notched up a combined aggregate scoreline of 15-3.

Back in 2016, Tottenham Hotspur was the first team to beat City under Pep Guardiola, but the Sky Blues have since won five of seven competitive H2Hs (W5, D1, L1), scoring an average of 2.14 goals across those matches.

Pep Guardiola will be without left-back Benjamin Mendy and winger Leroy Sane, who are both dealing with knee injuries. Fernandinho is lacking match fitness and might not be ready in time to face Spurs.

Betting Trends:

  • Raheem Sterling opened the season with a hat-trick – he scored more than one goal in four EPL matches last season
  • Across their previous five EPL home matches, City have scored half their goals from the 45th to 60th minute

TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR

Tottenham, meanwhile, comfortably beat Aston Villa 3-1 in their season premiere. However, another win here looks a tall order for a side that lost eight Premier League away matches last season – including their final six! Five of those were lost by a one-goal margin, just as the two most recent competitive H2Hs in Manchester were.

The visitors opened the last term with six straight matches featuring over 2.5 goals, and five witnessing both teams score. Eventually, 57.89% of their league matches in 2018/19 ended with over 2.5 goals, and half saw both sides score.

Mauricio Pochettino cannot count on Dele Alli (thigh), Juan Foyth (ankle), Ryan Sessegnon (thigh), and Son Heung-Min (suspension) while Ben Davis is questionable with a groin injury.

Betting Trends:

  • Harry Kane broke his no-goal August spell with a brace against Villa while he scored four goals against other top-six sides last season, two from the spot
  • No EPL side recorded more half-time turnarounds (W/L or L/W) than Tottenham’s five last season

Manchester City won five of the previous ten H2H encounters (D1, L4) including five of the previous six duels while the Citizens were victorious in eight of the last ten meetings at Etihad. They are on a 16-game winning streak at home, but City managed to beat Spurs by more than a goal at home only once in the last five clashes here. The hosts are huge favorites in this one, but I am backing Tottenham to cover the +1.5 spread and put up a fight on Saturday.

MY PICK: AH +1.5 Tottenham Hotspur (-111)

ADDITIONAL PICK: Six of the last ten H2H duels produced goals on both sides, and each of those six games also produced three or more goals in total. Tottenham managed to score at least a goal in seven of their previous nine visits to the Etihad, and that’s why I am going with over 2.5 goals and BTTS here.

MY PICK: Over 2.5 & BTTS (+110)

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