Eastern Michigan vs. San Diego State 9/22/2018 – College Football Free Betting Pick

 
Saturday, 09/22/2018 at 10:30 pm E MICHIGAN (2-2) at SAN DIEGO ST (3-1)
Expanded Matchup Game Center Bet Now Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P RY PY TY RY PY TY
411E MICHIGAN 48 29.8 23.5 2-2 3-1-0 1-2-0 122.5 308.3 430.8 216.5 208.8 425.3
412SAN DIEGO ST -13 22.3 21.5 3-1 1-3-0 1-3-0 198.3 172.3 370.6 64.5 272.5 337

Last Updated: 2018-09-18

The Eastern Michigan Eagles (+11) are traveling west to battle the San Diego State Aztecs at SDCCU Stadium. Kickoff is pretty late for those on the East Coast (10:30 p.m. ET) and CBS Sports Network will broadcast the action.

Eastern Michigan at San Diego State Betting Odds

The spread for this matchup is sitting at 11 points in favor of San Diego State. The Eagles are currently getting +325 moneyline odds while the Aztecs are -450. The over/under is set at 47 points. If one side can create a bunch of points early, it will likely produce a reasonable live betting scenario.

The total has not moved after it was set initially at 47. Having said that, the line opened at -10 so the sharp action has been siding with the Aztecs.

The Eagles are 2-1 straight up (SU) while the Aztecs are also 2-1 SU. The profitable Eagles are 2-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 4.5 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 1-1.

The Aztecs have gained 0.8 units this season. They’re 1-2 ATS and have an O/U record of 1-2.

The Eagles hope to get back on track after a 35-28 defeat to Buffalo last week. the Eagles completed 25-of-38 passes for 348 yards and two touchdowns. Mike Glass III went 17-for-27 for 284 yards and two touchdowns while Tyler Wiegers completed eight-of-11 for 64 yards. Glass III (69 rushing yards on 14 attempts, one TD) also led the running attack and was complemented by Shaq Vann (30 yards on 10 carries, one TD). Blake Banham (nine receptions, 159 yards, one TD) and Mathew Sexton (three catches, 42 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

San Diego State enters this one having just earned a 28-21 win over Arizona State. Ryan Agnew completed 12-of-24 passes for 129 yards and one touchdown. Juwan Washington (138 yards on 27 rush attempts, one TD) and Chase Jasmin (112 yards on 19 carries, one TD) spearheaded the running game while Kahale Warring (four receptions, 30 yards) and Ethan Dedeaux (two catches, 30 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Eastern Michigan’s run the ball on 53.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while San Diego State has an overall rush percentage of 67.6 percent. The Eagles have run for 127 yards/game and have five scores on the ground this year. The Aztecs are totaling 206 rush yards per contest and have six total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Aztecs ought to hold an edge in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield has generated 4.4 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 1.7 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Eagles have tallied 3.4 yards per carry while allowing 5.9 YPC to opponents.

The Eagles have averaged 332 yards through the air overall and have eight passing scores so far. The Aztecs have produced 171 pass yards per outing and have only one pass TDs.

Defensively, Eastern Michigan seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 231 yards and throw for 220 yards per game. San Diego State has allowed 46.3 yards per game on the ground and 284.7 to opponents in the air. The Eagles are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.70 to opponents, while the Aztecs have given up a staggering 8.81 ANY/A.

Tyler Wiegers is up to 302 passing yards this season, and has connected on 26-of-32 attempts with two passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Wiegers has a 9.50 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 6.67 over the last two games.

Look for Wiegers to spread the ball around early and often in this one. Blake Banham (62 receiving yards and two touchdowns), Arthur Jackson III (119 yards, one TD) and Mathew Sexton (62 yards, one TD) have all been heavily involved recently.

Ryan Agnew has recorded 129 yards, one TD and zero INTs for San Diego State. His ANY/A stands at 5.68 for the season and 5.02 over his past two outings.

We’re looking for Aztecs to control tempo by feeding the ball-carriers early and often. Along with Ethan Dedeaux (51 receiving yards), Juwan Washington (296 rush yards, two rush TDs, 32 receiving yards) and Chase Jasmin (137 rush yards, one rush TD) have been focal points in the San Diego State offense.

Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. San Diego State Aztecs Free Pick

SU Winner – San Diego State, ATS Winner – San Diego State, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Trends

The San Diego State defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks seven times this season. Eastern Michigan has produced four sacks.

The San Diego State offense has lost two fumbles in 2018 while the Eastern Michigan offense has let one get away.

The Eagles offense has registered four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Aztecs have accounted for zero such plays.

Both defenses have allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Eastern Michigan defense has given up four pass plays of 30+ yards while San Diego State has permitted seven such plays.

The Eastern Michigan offense has created one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while San Diego State has created six such runs.

The Eagles defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Aztecs have given up zero such runs.

As a team, Eastern Michigan has averaged 2.9 yards per carry over its last two contests.

San Diego State has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last two.

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