The Colonels and Governors are set to face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Governors will host the game at F&M Bank Arena in Clarksville, TN. In this Atlantic Sun matchup, Eastern Kentucky is favored by -1.5 vs. Austin Peay. The over/under for the game is 147.5 points.


The Pick: Austin Peay Governors +1.5

This game will be played at F&M Bank Arena at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, February 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Governors.
  • Not only will Austin Peay pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 147.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Do the Colonels Have What it Takes in Clarksville?

Eastern Kentucky is 17-11 overall and 12-2 in Atlantic Sun play. They have won four straight games, and they are 13-5 when favored. On the road, the Colonels are 5-8 this season, including a 5-5 mark in their last 10 games.

Most recently, Eastern Kentucky beat Central Arkansas by a score of 95-82. For the season, they are averaging -4.8 points per game on the road.

Eastern Kentucky has an ATS record of 13-12 this season and they are 10-8 vs. the spread when favored. On the road, the Colonels have gone 7-6 vs. the spread this year and they have a mark of 2-1 ATS in their last 3 road games.

This season, the over/under record for Eastern Kentucky games is 12-13 and today’s line of 147.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (152). So far, 18 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 154 points.

Eastern Kentucky recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 95 points against Central Arkansas. This output exceeded their season average of 81.9 points per game. In terms of offense, the Colonels have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, putting them 116th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 58th in percentage and 100th in three-pointers made.

So far, the Colonels’ defense is ranked 276th in the country at 76.4 points per contest. The Eastern Kentucky defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 82 points and allowed Central Arkansas to connect on 11 threes.

Will the Governors Win at F&M Bank Arena?

As a team, Austin Peay has a record of 15-14 this season, including a 8-6 mark in conference games. Over their last ten games, the Governors have a home record of 8-2.

Heading into this game, Austin Peay is 7-12 as the underdog this season. They are 5-2 this season when they are the favorite.

As the underdog this season, Austin Peay has an ATS record of 12-7. At home, their ATS mark is 5-3-1. In their last three home games, the Governors’ ATS record is 1-1-1, while their ATS mark as the underdog over their last three games is 2-1.

So far this season, the over/under record for Austin Peay games sits at 16-10, and today’s line of 147.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (139.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 161 points, and the over/under record in their last 10 games is 9-1.

Austin Peay’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 85 points against Lipscomb. They had an overall field goal percentage of 54.1% and made 10/16 free throws. On the offensive front, the Governors have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, ranking 251st nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 83rd in terms of percentage and 102nd in three-pointers made.

On defense, Austin Peay is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 70.7 points per game. Against Lipscomb, the Governors’ defense gave up 90 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Lipscomb only made 10 free-throws.