Betting on today’s Buccaneers and Spartans game? Catch the action at Greensboro Coliseum in Greensboro, NC, as the Spartans hosts this showdown at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 140.5 points, and the Spartans are favored to win at home against the Buccaneers.
EAST TENNESSEE STATE BUCCANEERS VS UNCG SPARTANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +7
This game will be played at Greensboro Coliseum at 4:00 ET on Saturday, January 6th.
WHY BET THE EAST TENNESSEE STATE BUCCANEERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Spartans.
- Even though we have UNCG winning straight-up, we like East Tennessee State at +7.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Can East Tennessee State Deliver Being Underdogs on the Road?
East Tennessee State comes into today’s game as the underdog, with a record of 9-5 and a two-game winning streak. So far this season, the Buccaneers have gone 2-5 on the road and have an average scoring margin of -6.7 points per game away from home.
In their last game, East Tennessee State took on Mercer and came away with an 80-69 victory. Over their last 10 road games, the Buccaneers have gone just 2-8.
East Tennessee State has been an excellent bet this year, going 7-5 against the spread. As the underdog, the Bucs have gone 5-2 vs. the spread this season. In their last 10 games as the underdog, ETSU has an impressive ATS mark of 7-2-1.
This season, the over/under record for East Tennessee State is 7-5 and the average scoring in their games is 140.9 points. Today’s over/under line of 140.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games this year (139.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 150 points and their OU record during this stretch is 3-0. So far, their over/under record this year is 5-4 in their last 10 games.
East Tennessee State recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 80 points against Mercer. This output exceeded their season average of 72.8 points per game. In terms of offense, the Buccaneers have a season-long field goal percentage of 39%, putting them 386th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 359th in percentage and 164th in three-pointers made.
Coming into today’s game, the East Tennessee State defense is giving up an average of 67.8 points per contest. The East Tennessee State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 69 points and allowed Mercer to connect on 6 threes.
Taking a Look at the Spartans Chances at Home
UNCG comes into today’s game with an overall record of 10-4 and are a perfect 5-0 at home this season. They are favored by 7 points and have been favored in 8 of their 14 games this season, going 7-1 in those games.
In their last game, the Spartans took on Furman and came away with a 79-68 victory. Over their last 10 games at home, UNCG has gone 9-1.
As the favorite, UNCG has gone just 3-5 against the spread this season and they have an overall ATS mark of 4-8. Their home ATS record is just 1-4 and over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Spartans are just 3-7 vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for UNCG games is 8-4. Today’s over/under line of 140.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (143.2). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-1 and the average scoring total is 148 points.
The Spartans’ offense wrapped up their last game with 79 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 78.6 points per contest. For the season, the UNCG offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 46%. So far, they have hit 52% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 10 made three’s per contest.
At this time, the Spartans’ defense is positioned 122nd in the country, permitting 69.9 points per game. In their previous game vs. Furman, the Paladins finished with a field goal percentage of 48% and a total of 68 points vs. UNCG.