Betting on today’s Buccaneers and Bulldogs game? Catch the action at Pete Hanna Center in Homewood, AL, as the Bulldogs hosts this showdown at 3:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 150 points, and Samford is favored by -11.5 to win at home against East Tennessee State.

EAST TENNESSEE STATE BUCCANEERS VS SAMFORD BULLDOGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +11.5

This game will be played at Pete Hanna Center at 3:00 ET on Saturday, February 24th.

WHY BET THE EAST TENNESSEE STATE BUCCANEERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Bulldogs.
  • Even though we have Samford winning straight-up, we like East Tennessee State at +11.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 150 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Buccaneers Pull Off a Road Win?

East Tennessee State has struggled on the road this season, going just 4-10 away from home. Their average scoring margin on the road is -6.1, and they have lost two straight road games coming into this one.

Overall, the Buccaneers are 14-14, including a 6-9 record in Southern Conference play. They are 4-12 as the underdog this season, and they come in as 11.5-point underdogs today against Samford.

As the underdog, East Tennessee State has gone 10-6 against the spread this season. Their overall ATS record is .500 at 13-13. On the road, the Buccaneers are 7-7 vs. the spread and have gone 2-1 ATS in their last three games away from home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, East Tennessee State is 6-4 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 150 is higher than the average over/under line in East Tennessee State’s games this season (142.2). This year, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 146 points.

East Tennessee State recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 82 points against VMI. This output exceeded their season average of 70 points per game. Ebby Asamoah led the scoring for the Buccaneers, contributing 21 points. Additionally, Jaden Seymour chipped in with 16 points.

So far, the Buccaneers’ defense is ranked 95th in the country at 69.0 points per contest. In their previous game vs. VMI, the Keydets finished with a field goal percentage of 44% and a total of 69 points vs. East Tennessee State.

Can the Bulldogs Grab a Win at Home?

Samford is 13-0 at home this season and has won 10 straight games at home. They are 18-1 this season when favored and 24-4 overall. Their average scoring margin at home this season is +16.3 compared to +4.7 on the road.

Most recently, Samford defeated Furman by a score of 74-72. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 10-0. On the season, they are 13-2 in Southern Conference games and 11-2 in non-conference games.

Samford’s ATS record this season is 15-10, including a home ATS mark of 8-5. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bulldogs are 5-5 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Samford is 10-15 and today’s over/under line of 150 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (156.1). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line. Over their last three games, their games have averaged 156 points compared to their season average of 158.9 points per game.

The Samford offense is coming off a game where they scored 74 points against Furman. They posted a field goal percentage of 48.1% and connected on 9 threes. The top scorer for the Bulldogs was Rylan Jones with 17 points, while Jermaine Marshall also added 15 to the scoreboard.

Coming into today’s game, the Samford defense is giving up an average of 73.9 points per contest. So far, the Samford defense is giving up an average of 10.1 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.8 times per game (656th).