It will be a showdown between two superb defenses when the UNCG Spartans (19-6, 10-2 SoCon), 1.5-point favorites, meet the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (22-4, 13-0 SoCon) at Greensboro Coliseum. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 133 points and action starts at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, February 12, 2018.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers at UNCG Spartans Betting Odds
Both teams were victorious over their last opponent. The Spartans defeated the Western Carolina Catamounts 65-48, while the Buccaneers beat the VMI Keydets 70-56.
East Tennessee State dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a phenomenal free throw rate of 0.327 (above their season average of 0.247) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 39.4 (above their season average of 31.3). VMI put up marks of 0.115 and 16.7, respectively, for those same stats. The Spartans, on the other hand, had a great free throw rate of 0.283 (above their season average of 0.196), while the Catamounts had a turnover percentage of 24.7 (above their season average of 18.3). Isaiah Miller led the way for UNCG, finishing with 10 points and six assists. Meanwhile, East Tennessee State was led by Jalan McCloud, who recorded 20 points and five rebounds.
Points could be at a premium as two of the nation’s top defenses go head-to-head. UNCG currently ranks sixth in defensive efficiency (92.4) and East Tennessee State is 11th (93.8).
Vegas tends to set the total high when the Buccaneers are involved, as 63.6 percent of their games have finished under the O/U total. East Tennessee State heads into the contest with records of 22-4 straight up (SU) and 15-5-2 against the spread (ATS).
Spartans games also tend to finish under the total (55.6 percent). Additionally, UNCG is 19-6 SU and 13-5 ATS.
In their first matchup this year, Desonta Bradford led the Buccaneers to a 68-58 win. He recorded 12 points and nine rebounds. The two teams combined for 126 points, which was under the projected point total of 137, and East Tennessee State covered as an 8-point favorite. East Tennessee State had a much better free throw rate (0.370 vs. 0.143). UNCG, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (13.5 vs. 19.6).
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. UNCG Spartans ATS Pick
East Tennessee State averages 7.8 steals per game, which ranks 27th in the NCAA. UNCG ranks 192nd in steals allowed per game (7.2).
The Spartans rank seventh in blocks allowed per game (2.2) while the Buccaneers rank 55th (2.8).
UNCG is 11th in the NCAA with 10.0 assists allowed per game while East Tennessee State is 31st with 11.1 assists allowed per game.
The Spartans rank 21st in three pointers attempted per game (27.1) while the Buccaneers rank 176th in three pointers allowed per game (22.9).
UNCG ranks eighth in rebounds allowed per game (30.0) while East Tennessee State ranks 75th (33.0).
East Tennessee State is 8-3-1 ATS on the road, while UNCG is 7-2 ATS at home.
The total has gone under in 9 of the Buccaneers’ 12 road games, while 6 of the Spartans’ 9 home games have gone under.
The Spartans are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Buccaneers are 3-2.
In their last five games, UNCG has 3 overs and 2 unders, while East Tennessee State has 3 unders and 2 overs.
The Spartans’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 13.2, up from 10.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Buccaneers have scored an average of 79.0 points per game (1.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 65.2 points per game (0.0 above their season average).