The Pirates and Roadrunners are set to face off at 4:00 ET on ESPNU. The Roadrunners will host the game at UTSA Convocation Center in San Antonio, TX. East Carolina come into this American Athletic conference matchup as the -1.5 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 149 points.


The Pick: UTSA Roadrunners +1.5

This game will be played at UTSA Convocation Center at 4:00 ET on Saturday, February 10th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-70 in favor of the Roadrunners.
  • Not only will UTSA pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Can the Pirates Offense Score Enough on the Road?

East Carolina heads into this game with a record of 11-12, including a 4-6 mark in American Athletic Conference action. The Pirates have lost two straight games and have gone just 3-7 in their last 10 games on the road.

On the season, East Carolina has been favored in 11 games, going 7-4 in those matchups. The Pirates have an average scoring margin of -7.4 points per game on the road, compared to +2.6 at home.

As the favorite this season, East Carolina has gone just 3-7-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Pirates are just 2-7-1 vs. the spread. On the road, ECU has an ATS mark of 4-3 this year and their last three road games have resulted in a 1-2 ATS record.

So far this season, the over/under record in East Carolina games is 7-15. Today’s over/under line of 149 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (141.3). On the year, 18 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 and the average scoring total is 127 points.

In their most recent game, the East Carolina offense put up just 52 points vs. the Charlotte 49ers. Overall, they are now averaging 68.8 points per game which is 356th in the country. The top scorer for the Pirates was Russell Felton Jr. with 20 points, while Jaden Walker also chipped in with 9 points.

So far, the Pirates’ defense is ranked 84th in the country at 68.1 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, East Carolina’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 45.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 28.7% this season.

Does UTSA Have What it Takes to Win as Home Underdogs?

UTSA will try to snap a three-game losing streak when it hosts East Carolina as a 1.5-point underdog. The Roadrunners have gone 2-13 as the underdog this season, compared to 5-2 when favored. They enter this game with an 8-15 record overall and a 2-8 mark in American Athletic Conference play.

In their last game, the Roadrunners lost to Wichita State by a score of 84-64. At home this season, UTSA has gone 5-6, and its average scoring margin is -0.9. Over the team’s last 10 games at home, it has gone 5-5.

Overall, UTSA has an ATS record of 9-13 this season. At home, their ATS mark is 6-5 and over their last 10 home games, they are 5-4 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Roadrunners have gone 6-9 vs. the spread this year and are 6-4 over their last 10 games as the underdog.

So far this season, the over/under record for UTSA is 15-7 and today’s line of 149 is lower than the average OU line in their games of 153.5. Currently, their games have averaged 163.6 points per game. Over their last three games, the OU record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 154 points.

The UTSA offense is coming off a game where they scored 64 points against Wichita State. They posted a field goal percentage of 38.3% and connected on 5 threes. One area that the UTSA offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 47th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 41%.

Looking at the UTSA defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 83.6 points per game (335th). Against Wichita State in their most recent game, the UTSA defense gave up a total of 84 points while allowing Wichita State to hit 43% of their shots.