Betting on today’s Pirates and Mustangs game? Catch the action at Moody Coliseum in Dallas, TX, as the Mustangs hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The odds for this American Athletic conference game currently have SMU as the -12 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 141.5 points.


The Pick: East Carolina Pirates +12

This game will be played at Moody Coliseum at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, March 6th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Mustangs.
  • Even though we have SMU winning straight-up, we like East Carolina at +12.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 141.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can the Pirates Lock in a Win at Dallas?

East Carolina comes into this game with a record of 14-15, and they have lost three games in a row. In American Athletic Conference play, they have gone 7-9, and their non-conference record is 7-6.

On the road this season, the Pirates have gone just 3-7, and their average scoring margin is -7.4 points per game. They have lost two games in a row on the road, and over their last 10 road games, they are 3-7.

East Carolina has an ATS record of 12-15-1 this season and they are 5-5 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Pirates are 6-8 vs. the spread this year and they have gone 0-3 ATS in their last three games as the underdog. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, East Carolina has an ATS record of 4-6.

This season, the over/under record for East Carolina games is 9-19 and today’s over/under line of 141.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games (141.1). So far, 19 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 137 points.

In their recent matchup, the East Carolina offense ended with 69 points against North Texas. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 53.2% and made 6 threes. Brandon Johnson led the scoring for the Pirates, contributing 14 points. Additionally, Russell Felton Jr. chipped in with 14 points.

Currently, the Pirates’ defense holds the 91st rank in the nation, allowing 68.9 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.2 threes per game vs. SMU. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 29.9%.

Is a Home Win Possible for SMU?

SMU has been dominant at home this season, going 12-3 with an average scoring margin of +14.4 points per game. They have been favored in 21 of their 29 games and have gone 17-4 as the favorite. Over their last 10 games at home, the Mustangs have gone 9-1.

After losing their last game to UTSA by a score of 77-73, SMU has now lost three straight games. So far this season, they have gone 19-10, including a 10-6 record in American Athletic Conference play.

At home this season, SMU has an ATS record of 6-8-1 and they are 1-4 against the spread in their last five home games. As the favorite, the Mustangs have gone 11-9-1 vs. the spread this year and they are 2-3 in their last five games as the favorite. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, SMU has an ATS record of 4-6.

SMU’s over/under record for the season is 12-16 and today’s line of 141.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (144.8). This year, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line.

The Mustangs’ offense wrapped up their last game with 73 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 77 points per contest. For the season, the SMU offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 45%. So far, they have hit 51% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 7.6 made three’s per contest.

So far, the Mustangs’ defense is ranked 54th in the country at 67.0 points per contest. SMU will look once again to perform well on defense, holding UTSA to just 38% shooting in their most recent game.