Planning on watching today’s Pirates and Mean Green game? Catch the action at UNT Coliseum in Denton, TX, as the Mean Green hosts this showdown at 3:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 124 points, and North Texas is favored by -8.5 to win at home against East Carolina.


The Pick: East Carolina Pirates +8.5

This game will be played at UNT Coliseum at 3:00 ET on Sunday, March 3rd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-71 in favor of the Mean Green.
  • Even though we have North Texas winning straight-up, we like East Carolina at +8.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 124 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can The Pirates Secure a Road Victory?

East Carolina will look to snap a two-game losing streak when they take on North Texas. So far this season, the Pirates have gone 14-14, including a 7-8 record in American Athletic Conference action.

On the road, East Carolina has gone 3-6 this season, and they have gone 3-7 in their last 10 games away from home. As the underdog, they are just 3-10 this season, and they enter this game as 8.5-point underdogs.

As the underdog this season, East Carolina has gone 6-7 vs. the spread. On the road, the Pirates are 5-4 ATS this year and 6-4 in their last 10 road games. Overall, ECU’s ATS mark stands at 12-14-1.

This season, the over/under record in East Carolina games is 8-19. On average, their games have finished with 136.6 points per game, which is 5.1 points lower than the average over/under line in their games (141.7). So far, 20 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 124.

Coming off their recent game, the East Carolina offense tallied 58 points in a matchup against Memphis. Their field goal percentage for the game was 30.3%, and they made 4 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Russell Felton Jr. who comes into today’s matchup averaging 16.6. Brandon Johnson also heads into the game with a PPG average of 13.8.

The Pirates’ defense is presently ranked 80th nationally, allowing an average of 68.3 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.0 threes per game vs. North Texas. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 29.3%.

Taking a Look at the Mean Green Chances at Home

North Texas will be at home for this game against East Carolina, and they have been the favorite in 16 of their 27 games this season. They have gone 12-4 as the favorite, and their average scoring margin at home is +6.3 points per game, compared to +1.8 on the road. They are 8-6 at home this season.

After their 80-76 win over Tulane, the Mean Green’s record stands at 15-12. In their last 10 games at home, they have gone 6-4, and over their last five games at home, they are 2-3. On the year, they have gone 8-7 in American Athletic Conference games, compared to 7-5 in non-conference games.

North Texas has an ATS record of 15-10 this season and they are 8-6 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Mean Green are 6-4 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 124 is lower than the average over/under line in North Texas’ games this season (129.5). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 138 points.

North Texas is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 80 points vs. Tulane. This figure is more than their season average of 67.7 points per game. Jason Edwards is leading the team in scoring at 18.7 points per contest. Aaron Scott has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 11.7 going into the game.

The Mean Green’s defense is presently ranked 7th nationally, allowing an average of 61.8 points per contest. So far, the North Texas defense is giving up an average of 9.1 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.6 times per game (467th).