The Dukes and Rams are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Rams will host the game at Stuart C. Siegel Center in Richmond, VA. The over/under for this game is set at 136.5 points, and VCU is favored by -5.5 vs. Duquesne in a Atlantic 10 conference matchup.


The Pick: VCU Rams -5.5

This game will be played at Stuart C. Siegel Center at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, March 5th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Rams.
  • Not only will VCU pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 136.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Do the Dukes Stand a Chance in Richmond?

Over their last 10 road games, Duquesne has gone 4-6. They are 4-7 on the road this season, compared to 13-4 at home. The Dukes have gone 3-5 as the underdog this year, and they are currently the underdog against VCU.

So far, Duquesne has gone 18-11 overall and 8-8 in Atlantic 10 play. They have won their last two games, and their record this season as the underdog is 3-5.

When it comes to their ATS record, Duquesne has gone 13-15 this season. On the road, the Dukes are 5-6 vs. the spread. As the underdog, they have gone 4-4 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Duquesne has an ATS mark of 5-5.

Today’s over/under line of 136.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Duquesne’s games this season (143.7). In their last three games, the average scoring total is 131 points, which is lower than today’s over/under line.

Coming off their recent game, the Duquesne offense tallied 59 points in a matchup against George Mason. Their field goal percentage for the game was 48.7%, and they made 3 threes. On the offensive front, the Dukes have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, ranking 280th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 288th in terms of percentage and 177th in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Dukes’ defense is positioned 54th in the country, permitting 67.1 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Duquesne’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.3% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.1% this season.

Will the Rams Live Up to Expectations at Home?

VCU comes into this game as the favorite, and they have been the favorite in 20 of their 29 games this season. They have gone 16-4 in those games. At home, they have been even better, going 14-6 compared to 5-4 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +7.8 points per game, and their current win streak at home sits at six games.

Most recently, VCU lost to Richmond by a score of 79-76. Over their last 10 games at home, the Rams have gone 8-2, and they have gone 5-0 over their last five games at home. This season, VCU has gone 19-10 overall, including an 11-5 record in Atlantic 10 play.

As the favorite this season, VCU has an ATS record of 13-7. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Rams are 8-2 vs. the spread. At home, VCU is 12-8 ATS this year and 6-4 ATS over their last 10 home games.

VCU’s over/under record this season is 14-15 and the average over/under line in their games is 140.4. So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 136.5. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 150 points and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 4-6.

In their most recent game, the Rams’ offense tallied 76 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 72.4 points per game. Max Shulga led the scoring for the Rams, contributing 19 points. Additionally, Sean Bairstow chipped in with 13 points.

At this time, the Rams’ defense is positioned 47th in the country, permitting 66.8 points per game. In today’s game vs. Duquesne, the VCU defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, VCU made 18 free-throws vs. the Rams.