On Saturday, November 18th at 3:00 ET, the Virginia Cavaliers will host the Duke Blue Devils. Television coverage for this week 12 CFB matchup at Scott Stadium will be on CW. In this Atlantic Coast matchup, the Blue Devils are heading in as 3.5 point road favorites. Will they manage to win on the road and cover?


The Pick: Virginia Cavaliers +3.5

This game will be played at Scott Stadium at 3:00 ET on Saturday, November 18th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 26-23 in favor of Duke.
  • Even though we have Duke winning straight-up, we like Virginia at +3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 47 points, and we like the over with a projected 49 points.

Can the Blue Devils Live Up to the Hype on the Road?

So far, the Duke Blue Devils are 6-4, including going 1-2 on the road and 4-1 at home.

Against the spread, Duke has gone 4-4 this season. The Blue Devils have been favored four times compared to four games as the underdog.

Across 10 games, the average over/under line in Duke’s matchups is 47.9 points. These games have seen an average combined score of 46.4 points, resulting in an OU record of 4-4.

On the ground, the Blue Devils are 54th in college football at 350 attempts per game. This has led to an average of 179.7 (41st). So far, they have turned to the passing game 24.6 and have a per game average of 165. Overall, they are 56th in points (27.6 PPG).

Duke’s defense ranks 65th in points allowed, with 18.8 points given up per game. Teams have been averaging 195.6 passing yards against them (46th nationally). On the ground, they’ve conceded 154.5 rushing yards, putting them 97th in college football.

Is a Home Win Possible for the Cavaliers?

With a 2-8 record, the Virginia Cavaliers take on Duke. Their road record so far is (1-3) and at home (0-4).

Heading into this week’s matchup with Duke, the Cavaliers have been favored in one game and the underdog in seven. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 5-3.

Through 10 games, the average over/under line in Virginia’s games is 50.5 points. Their games have averaged a combined 55.5 points leading to an OU record of 5-2-1.

Virginia’s offense is averaging 23.2 points per game, which ranks them 78th in the NCAA. Through the air, they’re at 248.9 passing yards on average, putting them at 50th in the nation. Their rushing attack is currently 100th in rushing yards, with an average of 382 rushing attempts per game this season.

This season, the Cavaliers’ defense has allowed 180.6 rushing yards per contest, placing them 74th. Opponents are averaging 217.9 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks hold a passer rating of 89.3 when facing Virginia. They currently hold the 20th spot in NCAA points allowed.