Planning on watching today’s Blue Devils and Seminoles game? Catch the action at Donald L. Tucker Center in Tallahassee, FL, as the Seminoles hosts this showdown at 2:00 ET on ESPN. Duke is favored by -5.5 in this Atlantic Coast conference contest against Florida State. The game’s over/under currently sits at 152 points.


The Pick: Florida State Seminoles +5.5

This game will be played at Donald L. Tucker Center at 2:00 ET on Saturday, February 17th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-68 in favor of the Seminoles.
  • Not only will Florida State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 152 points, and we like the under with a projected 142 points.

Does Duke Have What it Takes to Win as Road Favorites?

With a record of 19-5, Duke has been dominant this season, especially at home where they are 14-2. Overall, they have won three straight games and are 9-3 in Atlantic Coast Conference play.

On the road, the Blue Devils have gone 4-3, and they have won six of their last 10 games away from home. For the season, they are outscoring their opponents by an average of 3.3 points per game.

When looking at Duke’s ATS record this season, they are 12-11. This includes a mark of 2-5 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Blue Devils have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

Duke’s over/under record for the season sits at 11-11-1, and the average over/under line in their games is 146.6. Today’s over/under line of 152 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 138 points, and their OU record in those games is 0-3.

The Blue Devils’ offense finished with 77 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 80.5 points per contest. For the season, the Duke offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 48%. So far, they have hit 54% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 8 made three’s per contest.

Currently, the Blue Devils’ defense holds the 72nd rank in the nation, allowing 67.7 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.0 threes per game vs. Florida State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.5%.

Do the Seminoles Have What it Takes at Home?

Florida State enters this game as a 5.5-point underdog, and they have gone 6-6 as the underdog this season. The Seminoles are 8-6 at home this year, but they have lost their last three games at home.

Over their last 10 games at home, Florida State has gone 5-5, and they are 7-5 this season when they are the favorite. The Seminoles have gone 13-11 overall this season, and they are currently on a two-game losing streak.

Florida State’s ATS record this season is 12-11-1, including a 6-7-1 mark at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Seminoles are 6-4 vs. the spread.

Florida State’s over/under record this season is 14-9-1, and today’s line of 152 is higher than the average over/under line in its games (150). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 146 points.

In their previous game, the Seminoles’ offense finished with 75 points, which is right in line with their current average of 76.5 points per contest. On the offensive front, the Seminoles have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, ranking 183rd nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 332nd in terms of percentage and 298th in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Seminoles’ defense holds the 237th rank in the nation, allowing 74.7 points per game. Against Virginia Tech in their most recent game, the Florida State defense gave up a total of 83 points while allowing Virginia Tech to hit 40% of their shots.