Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Bulldogs and Redbirds. The game is starting at 8:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Redbirds at CEFCU Arena in Normal, IL. Get ready to place your bets! The Bulldogs come into this Missouri Valley conference matchup as the betting favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 138.5 points.


The Pick: Illinois State Redbirds +7.5

This game will be played at CEFCU Arena at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, January 17th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Redbirds.
  • Not only will Illinois State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +7.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Will the Drake Defense Show Up on the Road?

Drake comes into this game as a 7.5-point favorite, and they have been the favorite in 15 of their 17 games this season. They have gone 12-3 in those games, and they are 14-3 overall.

On the road, the Bulldogs have gone 3-3 this season, and their average scoring margin is -0.5 points per game. Over their last 10 road games, they are 5-5.

Against the spread, Drake is currently sitting at .500 with an 8-8 record. As the favorite, the Bulldogs are 7-8 vs. the spread this season. On the road, Drake has gone 2-4 ATS this year and over their last 10 road games, they have a mark of 4-6 vs. the spread.

Drake’s over/under record this season sits at 8-8 and today’s over/under line of 138.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (145.8). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 150 points compared to their season average of 146.9 points per game.

The Drake offense is coming off a game where they scored 76 points against Southern Illinois. They posted a field goal percentage of 56.4% and connected on 5 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Tucker DeVries who comes into today’s matchup averaging 20.4. Atin Wright also heads into the game with a PPG average of 14.9.

Coming into today’s game, the Drake defense is giving up an average of 68.5 points per contest. Drake’s three-point defense is currently 126th in the country at 7.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.7% of their shots vs. Drake.

Will the Redbirds Defense Show Up at Home?

Illinois State enters this game as a 7.5-point underdog, and they are 2-6 this season when they are the underdog. They are looking to snap a five-game losing streak, and they are 8-9 overall this season.

At home, the Redbirds are 6-3 this season, and they are 7-3 in their last 10 games at home. They are coming off a 59-50 loss to Valparaiso, and they are 2-3 in their last five home games.

As the underdog this season, Illinois State has gone just 2-6 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS mark is 6-10. At home, the Redbirds have an ATS record of 5-4. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Illinois State is just 2-8 vs. the spread.

Illinois State’s over/under record for the season is 8-8 and today’s line of 138.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (141.1). So far, 9 of their games have had higher scoring totals than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 123 points.

In their most recent game, the Illinois State offense concluded with only 50 points against Valparaiso. Throughout the game, they made 1/18 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 32.2%. Leading the team in scoring was Myles Foster with 9 points. Darius Burford also added 9 points for the Redbirds.

The Redbirds’ defense is presently ranked 91st nationally, allowing an average of 68.6 points per contest. Illinois State’s three-point defense is currently 119th in the country at 6.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 42.2% of their shots vs. Illinois State.