The Bulldogs and Braves are set to face off at 6:00 ET on ESPNU. The Braves will host the game at Carver Arena in Peoria, IL. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 144 points, and Bradley is favored by -3.5 to win at home against Drake.
DRAKE BULLDOGS VS BRADLEY BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Bradley Braves -3.5
This game will be played at Carver Arena at 6:00 ET on Saturday, February 10th.
WHY BET THE BRADLEY BRAVES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Braves.
- Not only will Bradley pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 144 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Do the Bulldogs Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?
Drake is coming off a 75-67 loss to Indiana State, and the Bulldogs are 19-5 overall, including a 9-3 record in Missouri Valley Conference play. They are 4-5 on the road this season, and their average scoring margin away from home is +0.8 points per game.
Drake is 1-1 as an underdog this season, and they are 16-4 when favored. The Bulldogs have won 13 straight games at home, where they are 13-0 this season. They have gone 2-3 in their last five road games and 4-6 in their last 10 away from home.
As the underdog, Drake has an ATS record of 1-1 this season and an overall ATS mark of 11-11. On the road, the Bulldogs are 3-6 vs. the spread, and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they have gone 4-6.
On the season, the over/under record for Drake games is 11-11. So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 144. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with those matchups averaging 157 points compared to an average over/under line of 145.3 this season.
In their latest game, Drake offense put up 67 points against Indiana State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 39.3% and made 7 threes. The top scorer for the Bulldogs was Tucker DeVries with 26 points, while Kevin Overton also added 13 to the scoreboard.
Coming into today’s game, the Drake defense is giving up an average of 68.6 points per contest. Drake’s three-point defense is currently 133rd in the country at 7.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 42.8% of their shots vs. Drake.
Is A Home Victory Likely for the Favored Braves?
Bradley has been a strong team at home this season, going 9-2 compared to 7-5 on the road. They have a six-game winning streak at home and have gone 8-2 in their last ten games in their own building.
For the season, Bradley has been favored in 19 of their 24 games, going 15-4 in those contests. Their average scoring margin at home is +13.0, compared to +2.5 on the road.
As the favorite this season, Bradley has an ATS record of 11-6-2 and they are 7-3 in their last 10 games as the favorite. At home, the Braves have an ATS mark of 7-3-1 and they have gone 5-3-1 vs. the spread in their last 10 home games.
On the season, the over/under record for Bradley games is 15-8 and today’s line of 144 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (139.8). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 143 points.
Against Evansville, the Bradley had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 75.8 points per game. They scored 70 points and posted a field goal percentage of 42.4% in the game. The Bradley offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 24.5 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 37% of their looks from outside this season.
Bradley’s defense has been playing well, ranking 74th nationally, with 67.7 points allowed per game. The Bradley defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 73 points and allowed Evansville to connect on 8 threes.