Drake at Indiana State Free College Basketball Pick
- 02nd Feb 2016
- Donald Phillips
Last Updated: 2017-03-06
The Indiana State Sycamores (12-10) look to extend their seven-game home winning streak when they take on the Drake Bulldogs (6-16), who have dropped 10 in a row on the road. The game starts at 7:00 pm ET on Tuesday, Feb. 2 and will air on ES3.
The Sycamores were beaten by Loyola Chicago 104-96 on Saturday. Brenton Scott finished with 28 points to lead the team. The Bulldogs are coming off an 80-70 win over Bradley on Saturday. Graham Woodward led the game in scoring with 23 points on 7-for-11 shooting.
Reed Timmer has been on fire over the last five games for the Bulldogs, averaging 19.4 points, 3.4 rebounds, 3.6 assists, 1.6 steals, and 1.0 three-pointer.
Second-chance opportunities are expected to be few and far between for the Bulldogs in this contest. They rank 307th in the nation in offensive rebounding (OR% of 25.5%), while Indiana State is 16th-best in the nation on the defensive backboards (DR% of 75.7%).
This will be the second matchup of the season between these two teams. The Sycamores won the first game 79-69. Devonte Brown was a top performer in the victory with 27 points, eight rebounds, one steal, one block, and two three-pointers.
Indiana State is a considerable 12-point favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is set at 145 points.
For updated lines, check out BTB’s College Basketball Odds.
The Sycamores look to build on their records of 12-10 Straight Up (SU) and 13-7-1 Against The Spread (ATS). Teams really have to fight for three-pointers against the Sycamores, who have allowed only 5.0 three-pointers to opponents per game.
On the other side, Drake has a SU record of 6-16 and an ATS record of 6-13. Drake has been particularly bad ATS over its past 10 matchups, going 1-9. During the last 10 games, they averaged 64.0 PPG, below their 69.6 PPG season average. Drake may be taking trips to the free throw line early and often with the Sycamores averaging 22.5 fouls per game, one of the highest marks in Division I.
Following the Sycamores’ latest win over Drake, their SU record rises to 6-4 over Drake in their most recent meetings. At 5-5, they are even ATS. Indiana State had the advantage in three key areas (field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers) once over the last five matchups. Drake has never had the edge in all three categories.
Predictions: SU Winner – InSt, ATS Winner – InSt, O/U – Over
Drake is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road.
Drake is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Drake’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana State.
Drake is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana State.
Drake is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana State.
Indiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.
Indiana State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Drake.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana State’s last 5 games when playing at home against Drake.
Drake scores just 61.3 points per away game (ranked 322nd). Indiana State ranks 53rd in points allowed at home, giving up 62.8 points.
Indiana State averages 70.6 possessions per game, scoring 1.002 points on each possession. While Drake averages fewer possessions per game with 66.6, they score more points per possession with 1.045.
Indiana State has an average effective field goal percentage of 47.2%. Drake is a subpar 3-14 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.
On average, the Indiana State Sycamores attempt 21.0 three point field goals per game and the Drake Bulldogs attempt 18.0. In games where they attempt at least 20 threes, Indiana State is 9-6, while Drake has an underachieving record of 1-9.
On average, Indiana State makes 6.2 steals per game. Drake is a subpar 3-10 when it gives up at least 6 steals.
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