Last Updated: 2017-06-19
Twenty-two starters and teams to consider as we kick off another work week. It’s June 19 and the Monday after Father’s Day, so pour an extra cup of two of coffee and get ready for the grind of another work week. Remember when we got to enjoy nice weather during the summertime every day of the week? Yeah, me neither. The joys of adulthood, although, that also means you are old enough to play DFS, so let’s see what Monday has in store.
The purpose of our column at BangTheBook is to dig for value-based players that allow you to roster the heavy hitters that you can trust on a daily basis. Everybody knows those names, but what sets the winners apart from the losers is being able to maximize your player budget. That’s where we come in.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for June 19:
Seattle – The Tigers are scraping the bottom of the barrel for starting pitching, as evidenced by the fact that dead weight Anibal Sanchez gets a start today. In 21 relief innings, Sanchez gave up 21 runs with a 7.89 FIP and a 5.29 xFIP. In Triple-A, Sanchez made four starts with a 4.60/4.24/2.92 pitcher slash, but the fact that he gave up three HR in just 15.2 innings is concerning. He’s a sunk cost, but the Mariners get a chance to have some fun with him before he gets DFA’d.
Miami – I really like Tanner Roark, but he’s not locating very well right now. The Marlins have a lot of talent in their lineup and catch Roark at the right time. His command has really sagged this year with a .308 BABIP against and a big spike in home runs. It appears that 2016 may have been the outlier. It’s hard to like a guy when his most used pitch is his worst per PITCHf/x pitch values. The Marlins could be the latest team to hang a number on him.
Toronto – Fitting the mold of poor pitchers that somehow have success, Austin Bibens-Dirkx will go for the Rangers today. He’s a great story, in that his pro career started in 2006 and he hung around long enough to get a Major League cup of coffee with the Rangers. He actually spent time in the Toronto system from 2013-15, so they should have good advance reports on him. He doesn’t miss a lot of bats and has allowed four home runs in 24.2 innings of work, so hopefully the Blue Jays stack it up for us.
Here are the top value hitters for June 19:
Kyle Seager ($3,400) – Kyle Seager’s slow start to the season hasn’t held the Mariners offense back all that much, but he should be in a good spot today. Seager snapped out of a mini skid with three doubles against the Rangers on Sunday, including a couple off of Yu Darvish. He’s batting just .263/.331/.413 on the year, but he’ll face Anibal Sanchez today, so the stage is set for a big day.
Mike Napoli ($3,400) – Speculating on cheap power is never a bad idea, especially when that bargain bin player is facing an extreme fly ball pitcher. That’s the case with Mike Napoli on Monday when he faces Marco Estrada. About the only thing Napoli has done this season is hit home runs. He’s hit 13 and has a .435 SLG. The other stats are ugly, but we’re only after one thing today.
Yasmani Grandal ($3,000) – An affordable option at catcher today is Yasmani Grandal. Grandal’s numbers are lowered by his inability to hit from the right side this year, but he’s batting .278/.327/.456 against righties on the season. Zack Wheeler has allowed a .450 SLG to right-handed hitters this year, so there’s a bit of hidden upside in Grandal, who has been eight percent above league average against RHP this year.
Here are the top value pitchers for June 19:
Daniel Gossett ($4,200) – With the first MLB start jitters out of the way, Daniel Gossett can treat Monday night’s start like just another game. The A’s prospect got shelled with seven runs allowed on six hits in 3.1 in his first start. The right-hander has exhibited really good command throughout the minor leagues and had some strong K/BB peripherals in Triple-A this season before his call-up. The Astros got in very late after playing Boston last night and teams can struggle out in Oakland for a variety of reasons. This is a gamble worth taking.
Jake Odorizzi ($7,400) – A lack of familiarity could lead to a slow start for the Reds on Monday night against the Rays. Tropicana Field isn’t a place the Reds generally go and Odorizzi is not a pitcher they generally face. The right-hander has a 3.77 ERA with higher peripherals, but those advanced metrics don’t like fly ball pitchers. Odorizzi has 55 K in 62 IP, so he’s got the upside of a strikeout per inning against an NL lineup with some swing and miss.
Corey Kluber ($11,700) – Sometimes it’s just worth paying up. I think that’s the case tonight with Corey Kluber against Baltimore. The back injury that bothered Kluber early in the season is gone and he has 28 strikeouts in 19 innings since. He’s only walked four batters in that span. The aggressive Orioles lineup could have a lot of ugly swings and misses against the cutter and curve/slider (depending on which classification method you use) tonight. These two options allow you to roster Kluber and still field a decent lineup.