Bailey Ober will get the start for the Twins (62-58, 33-24 home) as they host the Tigers (53-65, 27-32 away) at Target Field. The Tigers will give the starting nod to Alex Faedo. Check out my prediction for game one of this AL Central matchup between the Detroit Tigers and Minnesota Twins.

DETROIT TIGERS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Detroit Tigers +157

This game will be played at Target Field at 7:40 ET on Tuesday, August 15th.

WHY BET THE DETROIT TIGERS:

  • The Tigers will be taking on a Twins club that is just 2-3 over their last five games.
  • As the favorite on the road, the Tigers’ win streak currently stands at three games.
  • In Alex Faedo’s three most recent starts, the Tigers are 2-1.

DETROIT TIGERS SEEK TO IMPROVE THEIR ROAD RECORD

The Tigers will be playing their 118th game of the season today and are 3rd in the AL Central on a record of 53-65. So far, Detroit has won 44.1% of their games at home compared to 45.8% on the road. Against divisional opponents, the Tigers are 21-13 and have played a total of 38 series, going 15-19-4.

Alex Faedo takes the mound for Detroit with a 2-4 record. The right-hander has made eight appearances this season, posting an ERA of 5.80 and a K/9 of 7.81. His FIP is 5.18 and opposing hitters have managed to get on base at a .259 clip against him.

Alex Faedo’s most recent start against the Twins saw him surrender three runs and four hits over 4 2/3 innings. Despite not earning a decision, the Tigers emerged victorious with a 9-5 scoreline.

For the season, the Tigers are 20th in batting average, hitting a combined .234. Over their last ten games, they have hit .258 which is 7th in that span. Detroit’s average of 3.9 runs per game puts them 26th in the league. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 113 times and have a team slugging percentage of .374.

Over the last five games, Riley Greene has been the Tigers’ most productive hitter, batting .500. This season, Greene is hitting .307 and has 29 RBIs.

WILL THE MINNESOTA TWINS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

Coming in with an overall record of 62-58, the Twins are winners of three straight games. Through 36 series, they are 17-15-4 and in 1st place in the AL Central. At home, they have gone 33-24 compared to 29-34 on the road.

Bailey Ober has made 19 appearances in the 2023 season, with a record of 6-6 and an ERA of 3.40. His WHIP is 1.11, and he has allowed an OBP of .283. In his last five outings, Ober has given up a home run each time, while his strikeout to walk ratio is 107/19.

In Bailey Ober’s most recent start, the Twins fell to the Tigers 9-5. The right-hander surrendered five runs on 11 hits in five innings of work.

During their last ten games, Minnesota is the 16th ranked offense in terms of batting average. In these games, they have hit a combined .244 and are averaging 4.7 runs per game. Across the entire season, the Twins are hitting .237 with an OBP of .316 while averaging 4.4 runs per contest. This figure puts them 16th in the league.

The availability of Carlos Correa is uncertain due to his current injury status. Nevertheless, the shortstop has been a major contributor to the team’s offense this season, leading the squad in hits and boasting a .230 batting average and .409 slugging percentage.