Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals Free Pick 06/13/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-06-13

Nicholas Castellanos and the Detroit Tigers will be taking the field versus their divisional rival Kansas City Royals at TD Ameritrade Park. The action can be viewed across the country on ESPN. The game gets underway 8:05 p.m. ET.

Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals Odds

Kansas City (getting +125 odds) is the home-team underdog to Detroit and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. Odds for playing the game’s total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. This game currently has a runline of Tigers -1.5 (+110) and Royals +1.5 (-130).

The Royals are only 21-46 straight up (SU) and 30-36 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 17.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 14.9 units ATS. Kansas City has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Tigers are 25-39 SU and have gone 28-35 against the spread. They’ve lost 5.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 9.6 units ATS. Detroit is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Royals games have an over/under record of 31-30-5 so far in 2019. Detroit has an over/under record of 28-32-3.

Matthew Boyd will get the nod for the visiting Tigers. The southpaw Boyd is 5-4 with a 3.08 ERA and 105 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA against Kansas City this year.

The Royals are handing the ball to righty Homer Bailey (4-6, 5.90 ERA), who’s got 55 strikeouts and 26 walks as well as a 1.51 WHIP. Bailey is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA in one start against Detroit this year.

Kansas City’s pitchers have given up 5.2 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 5.34 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.81 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 25 games against divisional foes, Royals starters have an ERA of 3.86 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.00.

Kansas City’s hitters are putting up 4.1 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .221/.282/.319 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Royals’ offense has been led by second baseman Whit Merrifield and shortstop Adalberto Mondesi. Merrifield is slashing .292/.343/.477 with seven home runs, 29 RBIs, 44 runs and 10 stolen bases, while Mondesi’s line is .283/.315/.468 with six homers, 44 RBIs, 38 runs and 26 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.46 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.34 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.20, along with a K-per-9 of 7.80.

Tigers hitters have slashed .232/.296/.381 on their way to 3.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Nicholas Castellanos and Miguel Cabrera continue to lead Detroit’s offense. Castellanos is slashing .263/.315/.454 with seven home runs, 24 RBIs and 37 runs scored, while Cabrera (.286/.352/.373) has produced three homers, 28 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

The Tigers have lost 7.4 units and are 21-31 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 20 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Royals have lost 4.1 units and are 8-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to nine that went under the total.

Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

The over has cashed in three of Detroit’s last seven outings.

The Tigers have a total OPS of .677 this season and an OPS of .667 against right-handed pitchers. The Royals’ OPS sits at .716 overall and .737 versus righties.

Detroit fielders have committed nine errors over the last 10 games, compared to only four errors for Kansas City over its last 10.

The Tigers have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.

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