Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros Free Pick 08/21/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-08-21

Michael Brantley and the Houston Astros will go for their fourth win in a row when they play host to the slumping Detroit Tigers at Minute Maid Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET and ATTSN Southwest will be televising this AL showdown.

Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros Odds

Houston (-415) is the massive favorite over Detroit (+340) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for playing the game’s total sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. There’s a runline of Tigers +1.5 (+165) and Astros -1.5 (-185) for this matchup.

The Tigers have gone 37-86 SU this year and are 51-71 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 33.4 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 28.0 units ATS. The Astros, on the other hand, are 81-46 SU and 66-60 ATS. They’ve gained 1.0 units for moneyline bettors while earning 2.5 units ATS.

Houston games have a 56-67-3 over/under record in 2019. The Tigers have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 54-60-8.

The left-handed Daniel Norris will get the start for Detroit. Norris is 3-10 with a 4.82 ERA and 105 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Astros this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 9.64 ERA and three strikeouts across 4.2 innings).

The Astros will send righty Justin Verlander (15-4, 2.81 ERA) to the mound. Verlander has 228 strikeouts and 34 walks as well as a 0.84 WHIP. Verlander is 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA in one start against Detroit this year.

Houston’s pitchers have given up 4.0 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.75, a WHIP of 1.11 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.3. The bullpen has a 3.71 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.

The Houston hitters are putting up 5.5 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .250/.345/.406 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Astros’ offense has been led by Michael Brantley, who is slashing .334/.393/.540 with 18 home runs, 76 RBIs and 76 runs scored.

For the visitors, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 5.6 runs per game and its starters own a 5.20 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.55 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.02, along with a K/9 of 8.24.

Tigers hitters have slashed .237/.296/.386 on their way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 2.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Miguel Cabrera has led Detroit’s offense. Cabrera is hitting .283/.344/.393 with nine home runs, 50 RBIs and 32 runs scored.

The Astros are looking for another victory after a 6-3 win in the prior game of the series.

Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

The under has hit in five of Detroit’s last seven games.

The Tigers have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 17 over their last 10.

The Tigers have an OPS of .683 this season and an OPS of .671 against right-handed pitchers. The Astros’ OPS sits at .840 overall and .812 versus righties.

Houston has recorded 23.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.2 over its last five.

The Tigers have dropped five of their last six games SU.

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