Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 10/5/24
From Progressive Field in Cleveland, we have the Tigers and Guardians facing off in an AL Central matchup. This one gets started at 1:08 PM ET and is being televised on TBS. The Guardians are the betting favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -149, while the Tigers are at +128. The over/under line is currently at 7 runs.
Detroit comes into the game on a two-game losing streak and is 86-76 overall, while the Guardians are 92-69 and have won two straight. Tanner Bibee is starting for Cleveland, while the Tigers are going with Tyler Holton.
DETROIT TIGERS VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Detroit Tigers Moneyline +128
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 1:08 ET on Saturday, October 5th.
HOW TO BET THE TIGERS VS GUARDIANS:
- We have the Tigers winning by a score of 3 to 2
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Tigers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 5 runs and like the under
Tigers Records & Stats
Parker Meadows and the Tigers are coming off a big 5-2 win over the Astros to close out their series. Meadows went only 1/5, but his one hit was a home run, and he drove in three runs. The Tigers were the +155 underdog going into this matchup. They scored their other four runs in the 8th inning.
Sean Guenther got the win out of the bullpen for the Tigers, and Will Vest picked up the save. Starter Tyler Holton only went one inning, and Parker Meadows got the start for the Tigers, going 1/5 with a homer.
As the Tigers prepare to face the Guardians in Cleveland for game one of their AL Divisional Round series, they’ll look to snap a two-game losing streak. Detroit finished the regular season with a 43-38 record both at home and on the road. As road underdogs, they went 32-32 this year and have won their last four games away from home.
Detroit’s run line record for the season is 88-76, with a +0.5 average run margin on the road compared to 0.0 at home. They’ve covered the run line in four straight road games. The Tigers’ over/under record is 78-81, and 88.3% of their games have had higher totals than today’s 7-run line. The under has hit in their last two games.
Tyler Holton is getting the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Guardians on the road. So far, he has made 68 appearances and nine starts. Holton’s record for the season is 7-2, and he comes in with an ERA of 2.19. Looking at his ERA at home compared to on the road, Holton is 4-0 at home with a 7.0 ERA. On the road, he is 3-2 with a 1.82 ERA. Holton’s last outing came on October 2nd, where he went one inning, giving up one hit and issuing a walk. He didn’t allow a run in that outing and finished with a no-decision. In each of his last three outings, he has finished with a no-decision.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per game. Detroit’s team batting average is just .234, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage and slugging. As a team, the Tigers are 19th in home runs.
Over his last four games, Kerry Carpenter has gone just 2/13 at the plate, but he does have two runs and one homer during that stretch. Carpenter is currently batting .284 for the season, and his 18 homers is 2nd on the team. Riley Greene is the team’s top power threat, as he has gone deep 24 times and is batting .262 overall.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 4-3 loss to Houston, Ben Lively was solid on the mound, allowing just two runs on five hits. The offense was carried by José Ramírez, going 2/3 with a homer and three RBIs.
The Guardians also wasted a big game from Will Brennan, who went 3/4 with two doubles and a run scored. Cleveland’s other run came in the 1st inning but was unable to hold the lead, as Houston scored three times in the 2nd.
As the Guardians prepare to host the Tigers in the AL Divisional Round, they’ll look to snap a two-game losing streak. Cleveland finished the regular season with a 92-69 record, including a 50-30 mark at home and 42-39 on the road. They’ve also dropped their last two games at home and as favorites.
For the season, the Guardians went 82-79 against the run line, with a +0.7 average run margin at home. They’ve lost their last two home games against the run line. The under has hit in five straight games for Cleveland, and their overall over/under record is 68-82. Today’s line of 7 runs is below their season average of 8.3.
Cleveland is starting right-hander Tanner Bibee today vs. the Tigers. He has made 31 starts this year and has a record of 12-8 with a 3.47 ERA. Bibee’s WHIP for the season is 1.12, and he has turned in 12 quality starts. In his last outing, Bibee picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had taken the loss in three straight outings. Bibee’s ERA at home is 4.56, compared to 2.84 on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. At home, they have been a bit better, putting up 4.7 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .238, which is 14th in the league, and have the worst BABIP in the league. However, they have been good at not striking out, and their team OBP and SLG are both around league average.
Jose Ramirez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/18 in his last five games with two homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .279 with 39 homers and 118 RBIs. Josh Naylor is also having a good season, as he is 6th in the league in RBIs and is 2nd on the team with 31 homers.