Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals Free Pick 06/12/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-06-12

The Detroit Tigers will be taking on their divisional rival Kansas City Royals. Fox Sports Kansas City will televise the matchup and the game gets underway at 8:15 p.m. ET.

Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals Odds

Vegas has listed Detroit (+125) as the underdog to Kansas City (-135). If you think this game’s total will finish under 9 runs, then Vegas is offering -105 odds. Playing the over can return -115 odds. The game’s current runline odds stand at -170 for picking the Tigers +1.5 runs and +150 for the Royals -1.5.

The Tigers have gone only 24-39 SU this year and are 27-35 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.5 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.6 units ATS. The Royals, on the other hand, are 21-45 SU and 30-35 ATS. They’ve lost 18.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.9 units ATS.

Royals games have a 31-29-5 over/under record so far in 2019. The Tigers have an over/under record of 28-31-3.

The southpaw Daniel Norris is projected to start for the visiting Tigers. Norris (2-5, 4.60 ERA) has recorded 48 strikeouts in 62.2 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA against Kansas City this year.

The Royals will put the ball in the left hand of Danny Duffy (3-3, 4.68 ERA), who’s got 35 strikeouts and 16 walks as well as a 1.42 WHIP. Duffy hasn’t faced the Tigers yet this year, but he made three starts against them in 2018, posting a 1-2 record with a 7.71 ERA.

Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.48 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.31 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.29, along with a WHIP of 1.32 and a K/9 of 7.78.

Tigers hitters have slashed .233/.296/.382 on their way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Detroit’s offensive production has been fueled by Nicholas Castellanos and Miguel Cabrera. Castellanos is hitting .262/.312/.452 with seven home runs, 24 RBIs and 37 runs scored. Cabrera (.290/.358/.378) is up to three homers, 27 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Kansas City’s pitching staff has yielded 5.2 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 5.40 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.81 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 24 divisional games, Royals starters have an ERA of 3.92 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.01.

The Kansas City offense is putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .249/.291/.396 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Royals’ hitters have been led by second baseman Whit Merrifield and shortstop Adalberto Mondesi. Merrifield is slashing .293/.342/.476 with seven home runs, 29 RBIs, 43 runs and nine stolen bases, and Mondesi’s line is .280/.313/.470 with six homers, 44 RBIs, 38 runs and 25 stolen bases.

The Tigers have gained 1.9 units and are 7-4 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in eight of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Royals have lost 4.1 units and are 8-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in six of those games, compared to nine that went under the total.

Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Royals, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER


Betting Notes

The over has hit in four of Detroit’s last seven games.

The Tigers have dropped five of their last six games SU.

Detroit has recorded 23.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 22.6 over its last five.

The Tigers have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Royals have hit eight over their last 10.

The Tigers have an OPS of .678 this season and an OPS of .720 against left-handed pitchers. The Royals’ OPS sits at .717 overall and .659 against southpaws.

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2019 MLB Betting Guide

Power LinesView all

(971) SAN DIEGO @ (972) BALTIMORE | 7:05 pm 6/25/2019

Play Line: BALTIMORE 162
BTB PowerLine: BALTIMORE +126

Edge On: BALTIMORE 36Bet Now
(963) KANSAS CITY @ (964) CLEVELAND | 7:10 pm 6/25/2019

Play Line: KANSAS CITY 239
BTB PowerLine: KANSAS CITY +127

Edge On: KANSAS CITY 112Bet Now
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Play Line: BOSTON -279
BTB PowerLine: BOSTON -308

Edge On: BOSTON 29Bet Now