Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros Free Pick 08/22/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-08-22

Miguel Cabrera and the Detroit Tigers will take the field against the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. ATTSN Southwest is in line to showcase this AL matchup and the action gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros Odds

Houston (-470) is the giant favorite over Detroit (+395) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs. Odds for playing the game’s total stand at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. There’s a runline of Tigers +1.5 (+180) and Astros -1.5 (-220) for this matchup.

The Tigers are 38-86 SU and are 51-72 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 34.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 29.0 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Astros, on the other hand, are 81-47 SU and 67-60 ATS. The team’s gained 2.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 1.5 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Astros games have had an over/under record of 56-67-4 in 2019. The Tigers have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 54-60-9.

Jordan Zimmermann will get the start for the visiting Tigers. The right-handed Zimmermann is 1-8 with a 6.66 ERA and 57 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Astros this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 7.20 ERA and three strikeouts across five innings).

The Astros are putting the ball in the right hand of Gerrit Cole (14-5, 2.87 ERA, 0.98 WHIP), who has 226 strikeouts and 39 walks. Cole made two starts against the team in 2018, compiling a perfect 2-0 record in 2018, posting a perfect 2-0 record with a 2.53 ERA and 17 strikeouts.

As a unit, Houston’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.71 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.

Houston’s offense has put up 5.4 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .256/.348/.439 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Astros’ batters have been led by left fielder Michael Brantley and first baseman Yuli Gurriel. Brantley is hitting .334/.393/.540 with 18 home runs, 76 RBIs and 76 runs scored, and Gurriel’s line sits at .304/.341/.544 with 25 homers, 88 RBIs and 70 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.18 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.54 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.97, along with a WHIP of 1.40.

Tigers hitters have slashed .236/.295/.386 on their way to 3.6 runs scored per game this year, including 2.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Detroit’s hitters have been led by Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos. Cabrera is slashing .280/.341/.390 with nine home runs, 50 RBIs and 32 runs scored. Castellanos is hitting .273/.328/.462 with 11 homers, 37 RBIs and 57 runs scored.

The Tigers have lost 31.2 units and are 36-60 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 39 of those games, as opposed to 50 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Astros have lost 9.9 units and are 48-45 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 43 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under.

Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

Detroit has logged 14 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Houston has 16 XBH over its last five.

The Tigers have a team OPS of .680 this season and an OPS of .668 against right-handed pitchers. The Astros’ OPS stands at .838 overall and .812 versus righties.

Houston has recorded 21.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.8 over its last five.

The Tigers have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

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