Looking to win big? The Red Wings and Penguins face off at 6:00 ET on ESPN+. The Penguins are hosting the game at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA. The over/under for this game is set at 6.5 goals, and the Penguins are the -1.5 goal favorites against the Red Wings in a Eastern conference matchup.


The Pick: Pittsburgh Penguins -1.5

This game will be played at PPG Paints Arena at 6:00 ET on Sunday, March 17th.


  • With the Penguins being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Penguins.
  • Take the Penguins on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Red Wings (+1.5)

Will the Red Wings Make it Happen on the Road?

On the season, the Red Wings are 34-27-6 and currently sit in 8th place in the Eastern Conference standings. In the Atlantic Division, Detroit is in 5th place. Over their last ten games, the Red Wings have gone just 3-7, and they have lost four straight road games.

As the underdog, Detroit has gone 20-22-2 on the year. In games against Eastern Conference opponents, the Red Wings have gone 18-18. For the season, Detroit has 74 points.

On the season, the Red Wings have a puck line record of 37-30, including going 17-15 on the road. In their last ten road games, Detroit’s puck line record is just 2-8. So far this year, the team’s average scoring margin on the road is -.4 goals per game.

As the underdog, the Red Wings have a puck line record of 29-15, and their average scoring margin in those games is -.2 goals per contest. In their last five games, Detroit has gone just 1-4 vs. the puck line, and they have lost five straight games vs. the puck line on the road.

The average goal total for Detroit’s games is sitting at 6.7. The average over/under line for the season is 6.4. The Red Wings come in with an over/under record of 37-30-0.

When looking at their past three road matchups, Detroit has an puck line record of 0-3 while averaging 2 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.

On offense, the Red Wings are averaging 3.4 goals per game which is 8th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 23rd in the league. In terms of power play goals, the Red Wings offense is 5th in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they are 12th in the NHL.

Detroit’s leading scorer is Dylan Larkin. So far, he has 26 goals which is 36th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Larkin has 28 assists this season.

Defensively, the Penguins are currently 16th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 30.2 shots per game against Pittsburgh. They also are 1st in shutouts, coming in with 7 shutouts.

Goalie Alex Lyon gets the start and has made 33 starts this season. His record at this point is 18-14, and his save percentage is 0.745%.

Does Pittsburgh Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

At home this season, the Penguins have gone 17-13-4 and have been favored in 41 of their 66 games. In the Eastern Conference, Pittsburgh is currently 13th with a record of 29-28-9. Against other teams in the Metropolitan Division, the Penguins are 8-10 this year.

Over their last ten games, Pittsburgh has gone just 2-8 and have lost six straight games as the underdog. In their last five games, the Penguins have only won once, and they are 1-4 over their previous five games. Overall, Pittsburgh has 67 points this year.

At home this season, the Penguins have a puck line record of 15-19 and an average scoring margin of +.1 goals per game. So far, they have 20 wins by multiple goals.

Overall, Pittsburgh’s puck line record is 30-36, and they have gone 1-4 against the puck line in their last five games. Against the puck line as the favorite, the Penguins are 16-25.

This season, Pittsburgh’s games have an average of 5.9 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.3. The Penguins come in with an over/under performance of 26-35-5.

Although Detroit has a straight up record of 0-3 in their last three road games, they have not held up as well vs the puck line going 0-3. The team averaged 2 goals per game in these games.

The Penguins come into the game scoring an average of 2.9 goals per game, putting them 25th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 6th in the league. Pittsburgh’s offense comes into the game ranked 27th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 25th in the NHL.

The leading scorer for Pittsburgh’s offense is Sidney Crosby. Coming into the game he has 32 goals, ranking 18th in the NHL. Crosby also comes into the game with 34 assists.

In terms of defense, the Penguins head into the game ranked 16th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 30.2 shots per game against Pittsburgh. So far, they are 1st in shutouts, achieving 7 shutouts.

Entering the game, goalie Alex Nedeljkovic has started 19 games this season. His current record stands at 9-6, and his save percentage is 0.573%.