Looking to win big? The Red Wings and Sabres face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Sabres are hosting the game at KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY. The over/under for this matchup is currently set at 6.5 goals and the Sabres are the -1.5 favorite to win at home vs. the Red Wings.

DETROIT RED WINGS VS BUFFALO SABRES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Buffalo Sabres -1.5

This game will be played at KeyBank Center at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, March 12th.

WHY BET THE BUFFALO SABRES:

  • Coming in as 1.5 goal favorites, our projections have the Sabres picking up a 4-3 win.
  • Take the Sabres on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Red Wings (+1.5)

Can Detroit Pull Off a Road Win?

Heading into tonight’s game, the Red Wings are in 8th place in the Eastern Conference with 72 points and a record of 33-25-6. In their last 10 games, Detroit has gone 5-5, and they have lost five straight games overall.

On the road this season, the Red Wings have gone 15-15-1, and they have lost three straight games away from home. When playing against other teams from the Eastern Conference, Detroit has gone 17-17 this season.

On the season, the Red Wings have a puck line record of 36-28, including going 4-6 over their last ten games. So far, Detroit has had 19 wins by multiple goals compared to 14 wins by just one goal.

As the underdog, the Red Wings have a puck line record of 28-14, including going 0-5 against the puck line over their last five games. On the road, Detroit has gone 17-14 against the puck line and 3-7 in their last ten games.

This season, Detroit’s games have an average of 6.8 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.4. The Red Wings come in with an over/under performance of 36-28-0.

In their last three games away from home, the Red Wings have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 1 goals per game in this stretch.

On offense, the Red Wings are averaging 3.4 goals per game which is 8th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 24th in the league. The Red Wings went 11-7 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 22-17.

Detroit will be looking for a good game from Dylan Larkin who leads the team in scoring with 26 goals, ranking 30th in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 28 assists so far.

Buffalo defense takes on the Red Wings ranked 24th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 28.9 shots per game against Buffalo. They also are 13th in shutouts, with 4 shutouts.

Heading into this matchup vs. Buffalo, goalie Alex Lyon has started 31 games in this season. His current record is 18-12, and his save percentage stands at 0.736%.

Does Buffalo Have a Shot at a Home Win?

Buffalo enters the game with a 30-30-5 record and sits 12th in the Eastern Conference. In the Atlantic Division, the Sabres are 6th with a record of 9-10. At home this season, Buffalo is 15-17-1.

Over their last ten games, the Sabres have gone 6-4, and they have won two straight games when favored. Against Eastern Conference opponents, Buffalo is 17-21.

Buffalo comes into this game with a puck line record of 35-30 and an average scoring margin of -0.1 goals per game. They have gone 6-4 against the puck line in their last 10 games and 3-2 in their last five games.

So far this season, the Sabres have been the underdog in 42 of their games, and their puck line record as the underdog is 28-14. In their last 10 home games, Buffalo has gone 5-5 against the puck line.

This season, Buffalo’s games have an average of 5.9 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.5. The Sabres come in with an over/under performance of 25-38-2.

In their last three games away from home, the Red Wings have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 1 goals per game in this stretch.

On offense, the Sabres are averaging 2.9 goals per game which is 23rd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 12th in the league. In terms of the Sabres’ offense during power plays, they are 27th in power play goals and 15th in shorthanded goals.

The leading scorer for Buffalo’s offense is JJ Peterka. Coming into the game he has 20 goals, ranking 70th in the NHL. Peterka also comes into the game with 18 assists.

In terms of defense, the Sabres head into the game ranked 24th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 28.9 shots per game against Buffalo. So far, they are 13th in shutouts, achieving 4 shutouts.

Goalie Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen comes into the game having made 37 starts this season. So far, his record is 20-16 and he has a save percentage of 0.824%.