Home Free NHL Picks & Betting Articles Detroit Red Wings at Ottawa Senators Free Pick 2/29/20

Detroit Red Wings at Ottawa Senators Free Pick 2/29/20

Canadian Tire Centre will play host to an enticing matchup as the Ottawa Senators take the ice against the visiting Detroit Red Wings. It’s the fourth and final time that these two clubs will meet in the regular season. This Atlantic Division matchup gets started at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 29, and it’ll air live on TVA 2.

Detroit Red Wings vs. Ottawa Senators Odds

Detroit (+145) is currently the underdog to Ottawa (-165), and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 6 goals. If bettors want to put some action on this matchup’s total, they’ll be looking at odds of -105 for the over and -115 for the under.

The Senators are 22-43 straight up (SU) and have not been kind to moneyline bettors (to the tune of -14.3 units) thus far. That early-season winning percentage is right in line with what the team produced during the 2018-19 season (29-53). Of its 65 games this season, 34 have gone over the total, while 30 have gone under and just one has pushed. This season, the team is 16-19 SU at home.

Ottawa has converted on just 15.3 percent of its power play opportunities this year, a figure that’s ranked 30th overall in the NHL. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked 25th overall, and it’s successfully killed off 77.4 percent of all penalties.

Ottawa, as a collective unit, has been penalized 3.9 times per game overall this season, and 5.0 per game over its last five outings at home. The team’s had to kill penalties for a whopping 18.2 minutes per game over its last five matchups, overall.

Averaging 26.2 saves per game with a .901 save percentage, Craig Anderson (nine wins, 21 losses, and two OT losses) has been the primary option in goal for the Senators this year. If the Sens decide to give him the night off, however, the team could go with Marcus Hogberg (4-18-18 record, .909 save percentage, 3.05 goals against average).

Connor Brown and Jean-Gabriel Pageau will both be focal points for the Senators. Brown (40 points) is up to 14 goals and 26 assists and has recorded two or more points in nine different games this year. Pageau has 24 goals and 16 assists to his name and has recorded at least one point in 29 contests.

On the visitors’ side of the ice, Detroit is 15-51 straight up (SU) and has lost 25.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline thus far. Through 66 regular season matches, 32 of its games have gone under the total, while 26 have gone over and just eight have pushed. As the visiting team, Detroit is 5-28 SU.

Detroit has converted on just 14.6 percent of its power play chances this season, a figure that places it in the bottom- overall among NHL teams. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 29th overall and it’s successfully defended 74.5 percent of all penalties.

Detroit’s players have been penalized 3.6 times per game this season, 4.0 per game over their past five match ups total, and 3.8 per game over their last five games as the visiting team. The team has been forced to kill penalties 8.7 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

Jonathan Bernier (.906 save percentage and 2.95 goals against average) has been the primary option in goal for Detroit. Bernier is averaging 26.1 saves per game and has 13 wins, 28 losses, and two OT losses to his credit.

For the visiting Red Wings, a lot of the offense will be heavily coordinated by Dylan Larkin (17 goals, 29 assists) and Tyler Bertuzzi (18 goals, 23 assists).

Detroit Red Wings at Ottawa Senators Betting Predictions

Pick: SU Winner – Senators, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Trends

Three of Ottawa’s last five outings gone under the total.

Detroit has managed 26.2 shot attempts per game over its last five road games while Ottawa is averaging 34.2 shots per game over its last five at home.

The extra-man advantage may play a key role tonight. The Red Wings are 6-15 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 10-36 in games where they serve fewer than 10 penalty minutes, in total. The Senators are 7-17 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than the opposition and 13-21 when their penalty minutes are in the single digits.

Detroit is 2-1 in games decided by a shootout this season while Ottawa is 0-5 in shootouts.

Ottawa has averaged 7.0 takeaways per game over its last five home games, a slight drop from its season average of 6.3 takeaways per game (ranked 26th overall).

Detroit has allowed 4.8 goals per game (while managing just 1.3 goals per contest) over its four-game losing skid.

Detroit has forced 4.8 takeaways per game over its last five road games, its season average of 4.4 takeaways per game (ranked 32nd overall).

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