Last Updated: 2019-03-21
The Phoenix Suns (17-55) will be at home in Talking Stick Resort Arena when they challenge the Detroit Pistons (36-34). Detroit opened as a 7-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 218.5 points. Action gets underway at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 21, 2019, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Arizona.
Detroit Pistons vs. Phoenix Suns Odds Preview
In the Pistons’ last outing, they lost to the Cleveland Cavaliers, 126-119, despite being 6.5-point favorites. Detroit’s Andre Drummond had a solid performance, putting up 21 points, 21 rebounds and five assists. Cleveland did a fantastic job of making free throws (23-27; 85.2 percent). Detroit, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 38.0 (above their season average of 24.4). The two teams combined to score 245 points, which came in well over the projected point total of 212.
The Suns are hoping for a better outcome after failing to cover as 2.5-point favorites in their 116-101 loss to the Chicago Bulls in their last matchup. With 25 points and 12 rebounds, Phoenix’s Deandre Ayton played well. Chicago had an offensive rebounding percentage of 27.5 (above their season average of 19.0). Phoenix, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (11.2 vs. 11.5). The two clubs combined to record 217 points, which was under the projected point total of 227.
These two teams have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined to score 225 points, just over the projected point total of 221.5. The Pistons won 118-107, covering as 9-point favorites. The Pistons’ turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Suns. Detroit had a rate of 10.3, while Phoenix posted a mark of 15.7. Ayton recorded a double-double in the defeat, with 25 points and 13 rebounds.
Of Detroit’s 70 games, 36 have finished under the O/U total, while 41 of Phoenix’s 72 games have finished under the projected point total. The Pistons have the superior straight up (SU) record (36-34 vs. 17-55) and a slight edge against the spread (ATS) (35-34-1 vs. 33-39).
It might be a tough matchup for Phoenix on the offensive glass. The Suns rank 27th in offensive rebounding percentage (20.7 percent), while Detroit ranks fifth in defensive rebounding percentage (79.3 percent).
Detroit Pistons vs. Phoenix Suns ATS Prediction
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Under
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The Pistons rank seventh in rebounds allowed per game (43.5) while the Suns rank 26th (46.8).
Detroit ranks 19th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.9) while Phoenix ranks last (53.1).
Phoenix ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (18.7) while Detroit ranks 21st (15.6).
Detroit is second in the league with 28.1 three pointers allowed per game while Phoenix is fourth with 29.6 three pointers allowed per game.
Phoenix is 16-19 ATS at home, while Detroit is 16-18 ATS on the road.
The Pistons have 20 unders, 13 overs and 1 push in 34 road games.
The Suns have 22 unders and 13 overs in 35 home games.
Phoenix is 5-1 when they allow under 100 points, while Detroit is 11-2.
When scoring above 100 points, the Pistons are 33-21 and the Suns are 16-36.
The Pistons rank 10th in assists allowed per game (23.6) while the Suns rank 26th (25.9).
Detroit ranks second in second chance points allowed per game (10.8) while Phoenix ranks last (15.2).
The Pistons rank fifth in steals allowed per game (7.1) while the Suns rank 28th (9.1).
The Suns rank 17th in blocks per game (5.0) while the Pistons rank 27th (3.9).
Detroit ranks sixth in fast break points allowed per game (12.3) while Phoenix ranks 29th (16.3).
Phoenix is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over in its last five games.
Across its past five outings, Detroit is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
The Suns’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.4, down from 8.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 97.8 points per game (9.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.2 points per game (0.3 above their season average).