Home NBA Free NBA Picks Detroit Pistons at Philadelphia 76ers ATS Odds Pick 03/11/20

Detroit Pistons at Philadelphia 76ers ATS Odds Pick 03/11/20

The Philadelphia 76ers (38-26) will try to prolong a 14-game home winning streak when they meet the Detroit Pistons (20-45) at Wells Fargo Center. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 11, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Detroit.

Detroit Pistons vs. Philadelphia 76ers Betting Preview

The Pistons fell to the New York Knicks in their last game, 96-84. They failed to cover as 6-point underdogs. With 22 points on 8-for-13 shooting, Christian Wood led Detroit in scoring. New York won the rebounding battle. The Knicks had 13 offensive rebounds and 51 total rebounds, while the Pistons had five and 35, respectively. The two teams combined to score 180 points, which finished well under the projected point total of 211.5.

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The last time the 76ers played, they were 4-point favorites and fell to the Golden State Warriors, 118-114. With 22 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists, Philadelphia’s Al Horford had a solid outing. Golden State had a turnover percentage of 7.0 (better than their season average of 12.8). Philadelphia, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (28.2 vs. 18.9). Combined, the two teams scored 232 points, which came in over the O/U total of 219.5.

These two teams have met twice already this year, with the 76ers winning both. In the most recent contest, the Pistons lost 125-109, unable to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. Andre Drummond put up 27 points and nine rebounds. The two teams combined for 234 points, which was 18.5 points above the projected point total of 215.5 points. The 76ers played a nearly perfect game. They had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 41.5 and a turnover percentage of 10.7. The Pistons had marks of 16.2 and 12.4, respectively, for those same stats.

Of Detroit’s 65 games, 39 have finished over the O/U total, while 34 of Philadelphia’s 64 games have finished over the O/U total. The 76ers have the superior straight up (SU) record (38-26 vs. 20-45) and a narrow edge against the spread (ATS) (28-32-4 vs. 26-37-2).

Both teams have had a player trending in the right direction over their last five games. For the Pistons, it’s been Wood, who has averaged 24 points,10.2 rebounds, while the 76ers have received solid contributions from Tobias Harris (23 points,7.2 rebounds,3.8 assists).

Half-court execution will be at a premium when two of the league’s slowest-paced teams clash. Philadelphia ranks 24th in possessions per game (100.5) and Detroit is 26th (100.4).

Detroit Pistons at Philadelphia 76ers Betting Prediction

Pick: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The 76ers rank 10th in fast break points per game (14.1) while the Pistons rank 25th (10.9).

Philadelphia ranks 15th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.2) while Detroit ranks 26th (52.1).

Philadelphia ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (11.5) while Detroit ranks 16th (13.1).

Detroit is 13-17-2 ATS on the road, while Philadelphia is 17-10-3 ATS at home.

The total has gone over in 16 of the 76ers’ 30 home games, while 16 of the Pistons’ 32 road games have gone over.

Philadelphia is 14-1 when they allow below 100 points, while Detroit is 4-4.

In games where they score over 100 points, the 76ers are 34-13 and the Pistons are 19-31.

The 76ers rank fourth in assists allowed per game (22.7) while the Pistons rank 16th (24.6).

Philadelphia ranks second in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while Detroit ranks 25th (5.6).

The 76ers rank fifth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while the Pistons rank 26th (8.2).

The 76ers lead the league with 28.8 three pointers allowed per game while the Pistons are second with 29.5 three pointers allowed per game.

Philadelphia ranks 11th in rebounds per game (45.4) while Detroit ranks 28th (41.9).

Bettings Trends:

Philadelphia is 3-2 ATS with 5 overs in its last five games.

Over its past five outings, Detroit is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.

The 76ers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.6, down from 2.0 for the season.

During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 101.8 points per game (5.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 107.6 points per game (3.0 below their season average).

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