Detroit Pistons vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Prediction 12/6/17

 
Wednesday, 12/06/2017 at 08:05 pm DETROIT (14-10) at MILWAUKEE (13-10)
Expanded Matchup Bet Now Results Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P FG% FT% 3PT% FG% FT% 3PT%
515DETROIT 204 104.3 102.7 14-10 15-7-2 10-13-1 45.8% 74.5% 37.6% 46.7% 77.8% 37.4%
516MILWAUKEE -4 103.1 104 13-10 9-11-3 12-10-1 48% 74.8% 36.6% 46.2% 77.4% 39.9%

Last Updated: 2017-12-06

The Detroit Pistons (14-9), 3-point underdogs, will be at BMO Harris Bradley Center to meet the Milwaukee Bucks (12-10) in a Central Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 204.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Detroit at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 6, 2017.

Detroit Pistons vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Odds

Both teams were beaten in their last outing. The Bucks lost to the Boston Celtics, 111-100, while the Pistons lost a winnable game to the San Antonio Spurs, 96-93.

Detroit had a much better turnover percentage (9.5 vs. 15.5) while Milwaukee had a better turnover percentage (9.2 vs. 13.9). Giannis Antetokounmpo put together a solid outing for Milwaukee with 40 points and nine rebounds. Meanwhile, Andre Drummond had a good game for Detroit, putting up 11 points and 15 rebounds.

Half-court execution will be at a premium when two of the league’s slowest-paced teams face off. Milwaukee ranks 28th in possessions per game (96.9) and Detroit is 23rd (98.5).

Pistons games tend to finish under the projected point total (56.5 percent). Detroit comes into the contest with records of 14-9 straight up (SU) and 15-7-1 against the spread (ATS).

In opposition of Detroit, Bucks games have a slight tendency to finish over the total (54.5 percent). Additionally, Milwaukee owns records of 12-10 SU and 9-11-2 ATS.

Eric Bledsoe has been playing at a high level as of late for Milwaukee, averaging 22.6 points, 5.0 assists and 2.2 steals over the last five games.

The Bucks had the upper hand in the most recent game, a 99-95 win, to even the season series at one. Khris Middleton was a top performer in the victory, with 27 points, eight assists and six rebounds. Milwaukee’s 0.538 effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over Detroit, who had a rate of 0.441. Milwaukee was unable to cover as a 5-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 194 points, which was under the projected point total of 204.5.

Detroit Pistons vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Bucks rank fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.2) while the Pistons rank seventh (15.3).

Milwaukee ranks seventh in blocks per game (5.4) while Detroit ranks 27th (3.4).

The Bucks rank second in steals allowed per game (6.9) while the Pistons rank ninth (7.4).

Detroit ranks 22nd in rebounds per game (42.0) while Milwaukee ranks 29th (37.9).

Milwaukee allows the fewest fast break points per game (6.5) while Detroit ranks fifth (9.0).

The Pistons rank 10th in second chance points per game (13.3) while the Bucks rank last (7.9).

The Bucks rank 18th in assists per game (22.3) while the Pistons rank 23rd in assists allowed per game (24.4).

Detroit ranks 16th in three pointers attempted per game (29.1) while Milwaukee ranks 25th (24.4).

In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Detroit is 7-3 and Milwaukee is 6-2.

When reaching 100 points, the Pistons are 12-3 and the Bucks are 9-4.

Milwaukee is 3-6-1 ATS at home, while Detroit is 9-4 ATS on the road.

The Pistons have 9 unders and 4 overs in 13 road games.

Of the Bucks’ 10 home games, they have 6 unders and 4 overs.

Bettings Trends:

The Pistons are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Bucks are 2-3.

In their last five games, Detroit has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Milwaukee has 4 overs and 1 under.

The Pistons’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.6, down from 1.8 for the season.

During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 106.4 points per game (3.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 102.8 points per game (1.4 below their season average).

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